Privacy
Can we include your survey data in a public dataset?:
Yes: 2571 0.958
No: 113 0.042
Do you consent to having your survey responses being used as part of a research paper?:
Yes: 2576 0.96
No: 106 0.04
Demographic Information
Age:
Sum: 66645.9
Mean: 28.108772669759592
Median: 26.0
Mode: 23.0
Sex - What sex were you assigned at birth?:
Male: 2021 0.835
Female: 393 0.162
Other: 6 0.0024783147459727386
Gender - With what gender do you primarily identify?:
F (cisgender): 321 0.133
F (transgender MtF): 65 0.027
M (cisgender): 1829 0.76
M (transgender FtM): 23 0.01
Other: 156 0.06483790523690773
Country - If multiple possible answers, please choose the one you most identify with. Twelve popular answers are given below; otherwise please write your country into "Other" in the same format as the answers given:
United States: 1298 0.537
United Kingdom: 183 0.076
Canada: 144 0.06
Australia: 141 0.058
Germany: 85 0.035
Russia: 57 0.024
Finland: 25 0.01
New Zealand: 26 0.011
India: 24 0.01
Brazil: 16 0.007
France: 34 0.014
Israel: 29 0.012
Other: 354 0.14646255688870502
Race - With what race do you most identify? "Hispanic" is a term mostly used in the US referring to people whose ethnic background is from Mexico, Central America, and South America.:
Asian (East Asian): 80 0.033
Asian (Indian subcontinent): 60 0.025
Middle Eastern: 14 0.006
Black: 12 0.005
White (non-Hispanic): 2059 0.858
Hispanic: 57 0.024
Other: 108 0.045
Sex, Relationships
What is your sexual orientation?:
Heterosexual: 1640 0.704
Homosexual: 103 0.044
Bisexual: 428 0.184
Other: 144 0.061802575107296136
Are you asexual?:
Yes: 171 0.074
No: 2129 0.926
What is your preferred relationship style?:
Prefer monogomous: 1190 0.509
Prefer polyamorous: 426 0.182
Uncertain/no preference: 673 0.288
Other: 45 0.019263698630136987
Number of Partners:
0: 1094 0.468
1: 1039 0.444
2: 107 0.046
3: 46 0.02
4: 15 0.006
5: 8 0.003
Lots and lots: 29 0.012
Relationship Goals:
...and seeking more relationship partners: 577 0.248
...and possibly open to more relationship partners: 716 0.308
...and currently not looking for more relationship partners: 1034 0.444
Are you married?:
Yes: 443 0.19
No: 1885 0.81
Who do you currently live with most of the time?
:
Alone: 487 0.208
With parents and/or guardians: 476 0.203
With partner and/or children: 687 0.294
With roommates: 619 0.265
Other: 69 0.029487179487179487
How many children do you have?:
0: 2042 0.87
1: 115 0.049
2: 124 0.053
3: 48 0.02
4: 7 0.003
5: 6 0.003
6: 2 0.001
Lots and lots: 3 0.001
Are you planning on having more children?:
Yes: 720 0.307
Uncertain: 755 0.322
No: 869 0.371
Employment, Occupation, Education
What do you currently do?:
Student:
Yes: 968 0.3139798897178073
No: 1442 0.46772624067466756
Academics (on the teaching side):
Yes: 205 0.06649367499189102
No: 2205 0.7152124554005839
Self-employed:
Yes: 309 0.10022705157314304
No: 2101 0.6814790788193318
Independently wealthy:
Yes: 42 0.013623094388582549
No: 2368 0.7680830360038923
Non-profit work:
Yes: 152 0.04930262731106066
No: 2258 0.7324035030814142
For-profit work:
Yes: 954 0.3094388582549465
No: 1456 0.4722672721375284
Government work:
Yes: 135 0.043788517677586763
No: 2275 0.7379176127148881
Homemaker:
Yes: 47 0.015244891339604282
No: 2363 0.7664612390528706
Unemployed :
Yes: 228 0.07395394096659098
No: 2182 0.7077521894258839
In what area do you currently work or study?:
Philosophy: 54 0.024
Finance / Economics: 116 0.052
Statistics: 44 0.02
Computers (AI): 79 0.035
Computers (other academic, computer science): 156 0.07
Computers (practical: IT, programming, etc.): 681 0.305
Physics: 91 0.041
Biology: 49 0.022
Medicine: 49 0.022
Mathematics: 147 0.066
Neuroscience: 28 0.013
Other "hard science": 26 0.012
Psychology: 48 0.021
Other "social science": 48 0.021
Engineering: 150 0.067
Business: 72 0.032
Law: 50 0.022
Art: 51 0.023
Other: 277 0.12399283795881827
What is your highest education credential earned?:
None: 96 0.042
High School: 617 0.267
2 year degree: 105 0.045
Bachelor's: 815 0.353
Master's: 415 0.18
JD/MD/other professional degree: 66 0.029
PhD: 145 0.063
Other: 39 0.016883116883116882
IQ And Other Numbers That Purport To Measure Your Intelligence (Bonus Section)
IQ - Please give the score you got on your most recent PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC IQ test - no Internet tests, please! All tests should have the standard average of 100 and stdev of 15.:
Sum: 90972.48999999999
Mean: 138.466499238965
Median: 138.0
Mode: 135.0
IQ Age - At what age, in years, did you take the IQ test above?:
Sum: 21626.0
Mean: 32.916286149162865
Median: 17.0
Mode: 16.0
IQ Type - Please give a short description of the IQ test you took, for example "It was Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale administered at my school". If you don't remember or don't know how to describe the test, leave this blank.:
SAT scores out of 1600 - American students take the SATs before going to college. In olden days, the test was scored out of 1600. if you have an SAT score out of 1600, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.:
Sum: 635725.0
Mean: 1458.084862385321
Median: 1490.0
Mode: 1600.0
SAT scores out of 2400 - American students take the SATs before going to college. Nowadays, the test is scored out of 2400. If you have an SAT score out of 2400, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.:
Sum: 1068102.0
Mean: 2206.8223140495866
Median: 2240.0
Mode: 2340.0
ACT score out of 36 - Some American students take the ACTs before going to college. If you have an ACT score out of 36, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.:
Sum: 12379.0
Mean: 32.40575916230367
Median: 33.0
Mode: 35.0
Politics, Religion, Ethics
Given that no label can completely describe a person's political views, with which of these labels do you MOST identify?:
Libertarian, for example like the US Libertarian Party: socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no distribution of wealth: 519 0.251
Conservative, for example the US Republican Party and UK Tories: traditional values, low taxes, low redistribution of wealth: 115 0.056
Liberal, for example the US Democratic Party or the UK Labour Party: socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth: 614 0.297
Social democratic, for example Scandinavian countries: socially permissive, high taxes, major redistribution of wealth: 786 0.381
Communist, for example the old Soviet Union: complete state control of many facets of life: 30 0.015
How would you describe your religious views?:
Committed theist: 115 0.053
Lukewarm theist: 80 0.037
Deist/Pantheist/etc.: 57 0.026
Agnostic: 250 0.116
Atheist but spiritual: 170 0.079
Atheist and not spiritual: 1491 0.689
Which best describes the religion you believe?:
Christian (Catholic): 72 0.148
Christian (Other non-Protestant, eg Eastern Orthodox): 19 0.039
Christian (Protestant): 99 0.203
Christian (Mormon): 8 0.016
Hindu: 11 0.023
Buddhist: 39 0.08
Traditional Chinese: 2 0.004
Muslim: 5 0.01
Unitarian Universalism or similar: 26 0.053
Jewish: 57 0.117
Mixed/Other: 49 0.101
Other: 69 0.14168377823408623
How would you describe the religious views of your family when you were growing up?:
Committed theist: 551 0.255
Lukewarm theist: 716 0.331
Deist/Pantheist/etc: 44 0.02
Agnostic: 247 0.114
Atheist but spiritual: 114 0.053
Atheist and not spiritual: 346 0.16
Mixed / Other: 100 0.046
Other: 42 0.01943544655252198
What is your family's religious background, as of the last time your family practiced a religion?:
Christian (Catholic): 589 0.281
Christian (Other non-Protestant, eg Eastern Orthodox): 159 0.076
Christian (Protestant): 776 0.37
Christian (Mormon): 37 0.018
Hindu: 42 0.02
Buddhist: 17 0.008
Traditional Chinese: 19 0.009
Muslim: 15 0.007
Unitarian Universalism or similar: 45 0.021
Jewish: 207 0.099
Mixed/Other: 96 0.046
Other: 94 0.04478323010957599
With which of these meta-ethical views do you MOST identify? (Bonus Question):
Non-cognitivism: Moral statements don't express propositions and can neither be true nor false. "Murder is wrong" means something like "Boo murder!".: 187 0.095
Error theory: Moral statements have a truth-value, but attempt to describe features of the world that don't exist. "Murder is wrong" and "Murder is right" are both false statements because moral rightness and wrongness aren't features that exist.: 100 0.051
Subjectivism: Some moral statements are true, but not universally, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by non-universal opinions or prescriptions, and there is no non-attitudinal determinant of rightness and wrongness. "Murder is wrong" means something like "My culture has judged murder to be wrong" or "I've judged murder to be wrong".: 555 0.282
Substantive realism: Some moral statements are true, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by mind-independent moral properties. "Murder is wrong" means that murder has an objective mind-independent property of wrongness that we discover by empirical investigation, intuition, or some other method.: 347 0.176
Constructivism: Some moral statements are true, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by whether an agent would accept it if they were undergoing a process of rational deliberation. "Murder is wrong" can mean something like "Societal agreement to the rule 'do not murder' is instrumentally rational".: 781 0.396
Experience With LessWrong
How Did You Find LessWrong?:
Been here since it was started in the Overcoming Bias days: 171 0.083
Referred by a link: 276 0.134
HPMOR: 542 0.263
Overcoming Bias: 81 0.039
Referred by a friend: 265 0.129
Referred by a search engine: 131 0.064
Referred by other fiction: 14 0.007
Slate Star Codex: 243 0.118
Reddit: 57 0.028
Common Sense Atheism: 19 0.009
Hacker News: 48 0.023
Gwern: 23 0.011
Other: 193 0.0935984481086324
How do you use Less Wrong?:
I lurk, but never registered an account: 1125 0.544
I've registered an account, but never posted: 271 0.131
I've posted a comment, but never a top-level post: 419 0.203
I've posted in Discussion, but not Main: 179 0.087
I've posted in Main: 73 0.035
How often do you comment on LessWrong?:
I have commented more than once a week for the past year.: 26 0.013
I have commented more than once a month for the past year but less than once a week.: 63 0.031
I have commented but less than once a month for the past year.: 226 0.111
I have not commented this year.: 1725 0.846
How Long Since You Last Posted On LessWrong?:
How Long Since You Last Posted On LessWrong?:
I wrote one today.: 14 0.007395668251452721
Within the last three days.: 14 0.007395668251452721
Within the last week.: 22 0.01162176439513999
Within the last month.: 58 0.0306391970417327
Within the last three months.: 76 0.040147913365029056
Within the last six months.: 68 0.03592181722134179
Within the last year.: 84 0.044374009508716325
Within the last five years.: 295 0.15583729529846804
Longer than five years.: 15 0.00792393026941363
I've never posted on LW.: 1247 0.658742736397253
About how much of the Sequences - the collection of Eliezer Yudkowsky's original posts - have you read? You can find a list of them here.:
Never knew they existed until this moment: 217 0.104
Knew they existed, but never looked at them: 103 0.049
Some, but less than 25%: 442 0.211
About 25%: 260 0.124
About 50%: 284 0.135
About 75%: 299 0.143
All or almost all: 491 0.234
Do you attend Less Wrong meetups?:
Yes, regularly: 160 0.077
Yes, once or a few times: 407 0.195
No: 1524 0.729
Is physical interaction with the Less Wrong community otherwise a part of your everyday life, for example do you live with other Less Wrongers, or you are close friends and frequently go out with them?:
Yes, all the time: 161 0.077
Yes, sometimes: 258 0.124
No: 1659 0.798
Have you ever been in a romantic relationship with someone you met through the Less Wrong community?:
Yes: 132 0.063
I didn’t meet them through the community but they’re part of the community now: 102 0.049
No: 1858 0.888
Roko's Basilisk (Bonus Section)
Do you know what Roko's Basilisk thought experiment is?:
Yes: 1521 0.732
No but I've heard of it: 158 0.076
No: 398 0.192
Where did you read Roko's argument for the Basilisk?:
Roko's post on LessWrong: 323 0.202
Reddit: 171 0.107
XKCD: 61 0.038
LessWrong Wiki: 234 0.146
A news article: 71 0.044
Word of mouth: 222 0.139
RationalWiki: 314 0.196
Other: 194 0.1214017521902378
:
Yes: 75 0.051
Yes but I don't think it's logical conclusions apply for other reasons: 339 0.231
No: 1055 0.718
Do you think Basilisk-like thought experiments are dangerous?:
Yes, I think they're dangerous for decision theory reasons: 63 0.042
Yes I think they're dangerous for social reasons (eg. A cult might use them): 194 0.128
Yes I think they're dangerous for decision theory and social reasons: 136 0.09
Yes I think they're socially dangerous because they make everybody involved look foolish: 253 0.167
Yes I think they're dangerous for other reasons: 54 0.036
No: 809 0.534
Have you ever felt any sort of anxiety about the Basilisk?:
Yes: 142 0.088
Yes but only because I worry about everything: 189 0.118
No: 1275 0.794
What is the longest span of time you've spent worrying about the Basilisk?:
What is the longest span of time you've spent worrying about the Basilisk?:
I haven't: 714 0.47035573122529645
A few seconds: 237 0.15612648221343872
A minute: 298 0.1963109354413702
An hour: 176 0.11594202898550725
A day: 40 0.026350461133069828
Two days: 16 0.010540184453227932
Three days: 12 0.007905138339920948
A week: 12 0.007905138339920948
A month: 5 0.0032938076416337285
One to three months: 2 0.0013175230566534915
Three to six months: 0 0.0
Six to nine months: 0 0.0
Nine months to a year: 1 0.0006587615283267457
Over a year: 1 0.0006587615283267457
Years: 4 0.002635046113306983
Are you currently worrying about the Basilisk?:
Yes: 29 0.018
Yes but only because I worry about everything: 60 0.037
No: 1522 0.945
Mental Health (Bonus Section)
Have you ever been diagnosed with depression?:
No: 0 0.0
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 0 0.0
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 0 0.0
Have you ever been diagnosed with obsessive compulsive disorder?:
No: 1858 0.917
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 114 0.056
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 54 0.027
Have you ever been diagnosed with any autism spectrum disorder?:
No: 1602 0.79
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 261 0.129
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 166 0.082
Have you ever been diagnosed with any variant of attention deficit disorder?:
No: 1544 0.759
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 212 0.104
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 277 0.136
Have you ever been diagnosed with bipolar disorder?:
No: 1923 0.95
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 56 0.028
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 45 0.022
Have you ever been diagnosed with any anxiety disorder, eg panic disorder, generalized anxiety disorder, social anxiety disorder?:
No: 1399 0.689
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 354 0.174
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 278 0.137
Have you ever been diagnosed with borderline personality disorder?:
No: 1985 0.982
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 24 0.012
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 13 0.006
Have you ever been diagnosed with schizophrenia?:
No: 2006 0.988
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 8 0.004
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 16 0.008
Have you ever been diagnosed with substance use disorder?:
No: 1930 0.951
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 73 0.036
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 26 0.013
Have you ever wondered whether you might have a substance abuse problem?:
Yes: 313 0.154
Yes but only because I worry about everything: 198 0.097
No: 1522 0.749
Have your friends and family ever expressed concern that you are abusing substances?:
Yes: 157 0.077
Yes but only because they worry about everything: 113 0.056
Yes but only because they're suspicious of pharmaceutical medication: 51 0.025
No: 1715 0.842
What were the biggest problems with LessWrong at its peak?
Philosophical Issues:
Over Reliance On The Sequences.:
Yes: 345 0.11190398962049951
No: 1728 0.5604930262731106
Focus On AI.:
Yes: 259 0.08400908206292572
No: 1814 0.5883879338306844
Focus On Cryonics.:
Yes: 256 0.08303600389231268
No: 1817 0.5893610120012974
Criticism Of The Scientific Method.:
Yes: 122 0.03957184560493026
No: 1951 0.6328251702886799
Too Much Jargon.:
Yes: 485 0.157314304249108
No: 1588 0.5150827116445021
Too Focused On Abstract Junk.:
Yes: 246 0.07979240999026922
No: 1827 0.5926046059033409
I Wasn't Around For Its Peak. :
Yes: 922 0.2990593577684074
No: 1151 0.3733376581252027
[Write in below]:
Yes: 199 0.06454751865066494
No: 1874 0.6078494972429452
[Write in below]:
Yes: 39 0.01265001621796951
No: 2034 0.6597469996756407
Write in one::
Write in two::
Community Issues:
Not Enough In Person Interaction.:
Yes: 164 0.05319493999351281
No: 1909 0.6192020759000973
Overly High Standards For Content Submission.:
Yes: 198 0.06422315926046059
No: 1875 0.6081738566331495
Failure to cite sources.:
Yes: 159 0.05157314304249108
No: 1914 0.6208238728511191
Can't Find Things Quickly Enough To Maintain Interest.:
Yes: 161 0.05222186182289977
No: 1912 0.6201751540707103
Lame Forum Software.:
Yes: 218 0.07071034706454751
No: 1855 0.6016866688290626
Too Autistic.:
Yes: 115 0.037301329873499836
No: 1958 0.6350956860201102
Too Tolerant Of Trolls/Cranks.:
Yes: 148 0.04800518975024327
No: 1925 0.6243918261433669
Too Tolerant Of Laziness.:
Yes: 65 0.021083360363282518
No: 2008 0.6513136555303276
Too Tolerant Of Creepy People.:
Yes: 85 0.027570548167369445
No: 1988 0.6448264677262406
Too Tolerant Of Neoreaction.:
Yes: 126 0.04086928316574765
No: 1947 0.6315277327278624
Too Tolerant Of Progressivism.:
Yes: 30 0.009730781706130393
No: 2043 0.6626662341874797
Literally A Cult. :
Yes: 121 0.039247486214725916
No: 1952 0.6331495296788842
I Wasn't Around For Its Peak. :
Yes: 844 0.2737593253324684
No: 1229 0.39863769056114173
[Write in below]:
Yes: 199 0.06454751865066494
No: 1874 0.6078494972429452
[Write in below]:
Yes: 30 0.009730781706130393
No: 2043 0.6626662341874797
Write in one::
Write in two::
What are the biggest problems with LessWrong now?
Philosophical Issues:
Over Reliance On The Sequences.:
Yes: 316 0.10249756730457346
No: 1727 0.5601686668829062
Focus On AI.:
Yes: 247 0.08011676938047356
No: 1796 0.5825494648070062
Focus On Cryonics.:
Yes: 184 0.05968212779759974
No: 1859 0.60298410638988
Criticism Of The Scientific Method.:
Yes: 73 0.02367823548491729
No: 1970 0.6389879987025624
Too Much Jargon.:
Yes: 430 0.13947453778786895
No: 1613 0.5231916963996107
Too Focused On Abstract Junk.:
Yes: 259 0.08400908206292572
No: 1784 0.578657152124554
[Write in below]:
Yes: 186 0.06033084657800843
No: 1857 0.6023353876094713
[Write in below]:
Yes: 31 0.010055141096334739
No: 2012 0.652611093091145
Write in one::
Write in two::
Community Issues:
No New Content:
Yes: 417 0.13525786571521245
No: 1626 0.5274083684722672
No New *Good* Content:
Yes: 812 0.2633798248459293
No: 1231 0.39928640934155046
Can't Find Things Quickly Enough To Maintain Interest:
Yes: 269 0.08725267596496919
No: 1774 0.5754135582225105
Lame Forum Software:
Yes: 251 0.08141420694129095
No: 1792 0.5812520272461887
Decline from new people coming in who don't understand the culture:
Yes: 217 0.07038598767434318
No: 1826 0.5922802465131366
Decline from evaporative cooling (http://lesswrong.com/lw/lr/evaporative_cooling_of_group_beliefs/):
Yes: 288 0.09341550437885177
No: 1755 0.569250729808628
Decline from dunning kruger where competent refrain from posting what they feel to be sub par content (and by extension, posting content at all) but incompetent don't :
Yes: 386 0.12520272461887771
No: 1657 0.537463509568602
Not Enough In Person Interaction:
Yes: 127 0.041193642555951995
No: 1916 0.6214725916315277
Overly High Standards For Content Submission:
Yes: 124 0.040220564385338956
No: 1919 0.6224456698021408
Failure to cite sources:
Yes: 87 0.028219266947778137
No: 1956 0.6344469672397016
Too Autistic:
Yes: 108 0.03503081414206941
No: 1935 0.6276354200454103
Too Tolerant Of Trolls/Cranks:
Yes: 138 0.0447615958481998
No: 1905 0.6179046383392799
Too Tolerant Of Laziness:
Yes: 66 0.021407719753486862
No: 1977 0.6412585144339928
Too Tolerant Of Creepy People:
Yes: 70 0.02270515731430425
No: 1973 0.6399610768731755
Too Tolerant Of Neoreaction:
Yes: 113 0.03665261109309115
No: 1930 0.6260136230943886
Too Tolerant Of Progressivism:
Yes: 47 0.015244891339604282
No: 1996 0.6474213428478754
Literally A Cult :
Yes: 88 0.028543626337982485
No: 1955 0.6341226078494973
[Write in below]:
Yes: 190 0.06162828413882582
No: 1853 0.6010379500486539
[Write in below]:
Yes: 38 0.012325656827765165
No: 2005 0.6503405773597145
Write in one::
Write in two::
What would you want from a successor?
Philosophically:
Attention Paid To Outside Sources:
More: 1047 0.709349593495935
Same: 416 0.28184281842818426
Less: 13 0.008807588075880758
Self Improvement Focus:
More: 757 0.5066934404283802
Same: 602 0.4029451137884873
Less: 135 0.09036144578313253
AI Focus:
More: 186 0.12687585266030013
Same: 822 0.5607094133697135
Less: 458 0.31241473396998637
Political:
More: 332 0.22865013774104684
Same: 773 0.5323691460055097
Less: 347 0.23898071625344353
Academic/Formal:
More: 457 0.3191340782122905
Same: 806 0.5628491620111732
Less: 169 0.1180167597765363
[Write in your own]:
More: 146 0.6666666666666666
Same: 44 0.2009132420091324
Less: 29 0.1324200913242009
[Write in your own]:
More: 40 0.5194805194805194
Same: 20 0.2597402597402597
Less: 17 0.22077922077922077
[Write in your own]:
More: 24 0.5853658536585366
Same: 9 0.21951219512195122
Less: 8 0.1951219512195122
Write in one::
Write in two::
Write in three::
Community:
Intense Environment:
More: 255 0.19645608628659475
Same: 833 0.6417565485362096
Less: 210 0.1617873651771957
Focused On 'Real World' Action:
More: 741 0.5373459028281363
Same: 567 0.41116751269035534
Less: 71 0.05148658448150834
Experts:
More: 750 0.5547337278106509
Same: 579 0.4282544378698225
Less: 23 0.017011834319526627
Data Driven/Testing Of Ideas:
More: 1110 0.7827926657263752
Same: 293 0.2066290550070522
Less: 15 0.010578279266572637
Social:
More: 584 0.4342007434944238
Same: 686 0.5100371747211896
Less: 75 0.055762081784386616
[Write in your own]:
More: 68 0.7010309278350515
Same: 9 0.09278350515463918
Less: 20 0.20618556701030927
[Write in your own]:
More: 20 0.5714285714285714
Same: 10 0.2857142857142857
Less: 5 0.14285714285714285
[Write in your own]:
More: 11 0.6875
Same: 4 0.25
Less: 1 0.0625
Write in one::
Write in two::
Write in three::
Where do you hang out now?
I'm Currently An Active Member Of:
LessWrong:
Yes: 354 0.11482322413233863
No: 1604 0.5202724618877717
LessWrong Meetups:
Yes: 216 0.07006162828413882
No: 1742 0.5650340577359715
LessWrong Facebook Group:
Yes: 172 0.055789815115147585
No: 1786 0.5793058709049627
LessWrong Slack:
Yes: 56 0.018164125851443398
No: 1902 0.6169315601686669
SlateStarCodex:
Yes: 837 0.27148880960103794
No: 1121 0.36360687641907236
Rationalist Tumblr:
Yes: 352 0.11417450535192994
No: 1606 0.5209211806681804
Rationalist Facebook:
Yes: 151 0.04897826792085631
No: 1807 0.586117418099254
Rationalist Twitter:
Yes: 60 0.019461563412260786
No: 1898 0.6156341226078494
Effective Altruism Hub:
Yes: 99 0.03211157963023029
No: 1859 0.60298410638988
FortForecast:
Yes: 5 0.001621796951021732
No: 1953 0.6334738890690885
Good Judgement(TM) Open:
Yes: 31 0.010055141096334739
No: 1927 0.6250405449237756
PredictionBook:
Yes: 60 0.019461563412260786
No: 1898 0.6156341226078494
Omnilibrium:
Yes: 9 0.0029192345118391177
No: 1949 0.6321764515082712
Hacker News:
Yes: 253 0.08206292572169964
No: 1705 0.5530327602984106
#lesswrong on freenode :
Yes: 77 0.024975673045734673
No: 1881 0.6101200129743756
#slatestarcodex on freenode:
Yes: 37 0.012001297437560817
No: 1921 0.6230943885825495
#hplusroadmap on freenode:
Yes: 5 0.001621796951021732
No: 1953 0.6334738890690885
#chapelperilous on freenode:
Yes: 11 0.0035679532922478106
No: 1947 0.6315277327278624
/r/rational:
Yes: 275 0.08919883230619527
No: 1683 0.545896853713915
/r/HPMOR:
Yes: 232 0.07525137852740837
No: 1726 0.5598443074927019
/r/SlateStarCodex:
Yes: 245 0.07946805060006487
No: 1713 0.5556276354200455
One or more private 'rationalist' groups :
Yes: 193 0.06260136230943886
No: 1765 0.5724943237106714
Other:
Yes: 0 0.0
No: 0 0.0
Would you consider rejoining LessWrong?:
I never left: 671 0.406
Yes: 557 0.337
Yes, but only under certain conditions: 206 0.125
No: 218 0.132
If you would only rejoin under certain conditions, what would those be?:
Interests And Media
Do You Read These Blogs:
LessWrong:
Regular Reader: 239 0.13472378804960541
Sometimes: 642 0.36189402480270577
Rarely: 537 0.30270574971815106
Almost Never: 272 0.15332581736189402
Never: 70 0.03945885005636979
Never Heard Of It: 14 0.007891770011273957
SlateStarCodex (Scott Alexander):
Regular Reader: 1137 0.6373318385650224
Sometimes: 264 0.14798206278026907
Rarely: 90 0.05044843049327354
Almost Never: 61 0.034192825112107625
Never: 51 0.02858744394618834
Never Heard Of It: 181 0.10145739910313901
Overcoming Bias (Robin Hanson):
Regular Reader: 207 0.11768050028425242
Sometimes: 365 0.20750426378624218
Rarely: 391 0.2222853894258101
Almost Never: 387 0.22001137009664581
Never: 240 0.13644115974985788
Never Heard Of It: 169 0.09607731665719159
Minding Our Way (Nate Soares):
Regular Reader: 154 0.08860759493670886
Sometimes: 134 0.07710011507479862
Rarely: 139 0.07997698504027619
Almost Never: 175 0.10069044879171461
Never: 214 0.12313003452243959
Never Heard Of It: 922 0.5304948216340621
Agenty Duck (Brienne Yudkowsky):
Regular Reader: 57 0.032853025936599424
Sometimes: 132 0.0760806916426513
Rarely: 144 0.0829971181556196
Almost Never: 213 0.12276657060518732
Never: 254 0.14639769452449566
Never Heard Of It: 935 0.5389048991354467
Eliezer Yudkowsky's Facebook Page:
Regular Reader: 326 0.18554354012521343
Sometimes: 316 0.1798520204894707
Rarely: 231 0.13147410358565736
Almost Never: 268 0.1525327262379055
Never: 362 0.2060330108138873
Never Heard Of It: 254 0.14456459874786567
Luke Muehlhauser (Eponymous):
Regular Reader: 60 0.034722222222222224
Sometimes: 107 0.061921296296296294
Rarely: 179 0.10358796296296297
Almost Never: 231 0.13368055555555555
Never: 312 0.18055555555555555
Never Heard Of It: 839 0.4855324074074074
Gwern.net (Gwern Branwen):
Regular Reader: 118 0.06758304696449026
Sometimes: 282 0.16151202749140894
Rarely: 293 0.16781214203894615
Almost Never: 224 0.12829324169530354
Never: 230 0.13172966781214204
Never Heard Of It: 599 0.34306987399770905
Siderea (Sibylla Bostoniensis):
Regular Reader: 31 0.017919075144508672
Sometimes: 49 0.028323699421965318
Rarely: 59 0.03410404624277456
Almost Never: 104 0.06011560693641618
Never: 183 0.10578034682080925
Never Heard Of It: 1304 0.753757225433526
BlogsRead2:
Ribbon Farm (Venkatesh Rao):
Regular Reader: 65 0.0377906976744186
Sometimes: 123 0.07151162790697674
Rarely: 111 0.06453488372093023
Almost Never: 151 0.0877906976744186
Never: 150 0.0872093023255814
Never Heard Of It: 1120 0.6511627906976745
Bayesed And Confused (Michael Rupert):
Regular Reader: 2 0.0011689070718877848
Sometimes: 10 0.0058445353594389245
Rarely: 24 0.014026884862653419
Almost Never: 68 0.03974284044418469
Never: 167 0.09760374050263004
Never Heard Of It: 1440 0.8416130917592052
The Unit Of Caring (Anonymous):
Regular Reader: 284 0.16569428238039674
Sometimes: 132 0.07701283547257877
Rarely: 127 0.07409568261376896
Almost Never: 179 0.1044340723453909
Never: 216 0.12602100350058343
Never Heard Of It: 776 0.45274212368728123
GiveWell Blog (Multiple Authors):
Regular Reader: 76 0.04481132075471698
Sometimes: 197 0.11615566037735849
Rarely: 244 0.14386792452830188
Almost Never: 281 0.16568396226415094
Never: 414 0.24410377358490565
Never Heard Of It: 483 0.2847877358490566
Thing Of Things (Ozy Frantz):
Regular Reader: 367 0.21324811156304474
Sometimes: 201 0.1167925624636839
Rarely: 143 0.0830912260313771
Almost Never: 172 0.0999418942475305
Never: 177 0.10284718187100524
Never Heard Of It: 661 0.3840790238233585
The Last Psychiatrist (Anonymous):
Regular Reader: 103 0.060023310023310024
Sometimes: 94 0.054778554778554776
Rarely: 167 0.09731934731934731
Almost Never: 222 0.12937062937062938
Never: 302 0.175990675990676
Never Heard Of It: 828 0.4825174825174825
Hotel Concierge (Anonymous):
Regular Reader: 31 0.018224573780129337
Sometimes: 36 0.021164021164021163
Rarely: 49 0.02880658436213992
Almost Never: 88 0.05173427395649618
Never: 179 0.10523221634332745
Never Heard Of It: 1318 0.7748383303938859
The View From Hell (Sister Y):
Regular Reader: 35 0.020491803278688523
Sometimes: 39 0.022833723653395786
Rarely: 76 0.04449648711943794
Almost Never: 137 0.08021077283372366
Never: 250 0.14637002341920374
Never Heard Of It: 1171 0.6855971896955504
Xenosystems (Nick Land):
Regular Reader: 53 0.031194820482636845
Sometimes: 32 0.01883460859329017
Rarely: 64 0.03766921718658034
Almost Never: 175 0.10300176574455562
Never: 366 0.21542083578575633
Never Heard Of It: 1009 0.5938787522071807
Are there any noteworthy blogs you read that we missed above?:
Have You Read These Stories?:
Harry Potter And The Methods Of Rationality (Eliezer Yudkowsky):
Whole Thing: 1105 0.6183547845551203
Partially And Intend To Finish: 146 0.0817011751538892
Partially And Abandoned: 231 0.12926692781197538
Never: 223 0.12479015109121433
Never Heard Of It: 82 0.04588696138780078
Significant Digits (Alexander D):
Whole Thing: 123 0.07089337175792507
Partially And Intend To Finish: 105 0.06051873198847262
Partially And Abandoned: 91 0.05244956772334294
Never: 333 0.19193083573487033
Never Heard Of It: 1083 0.624207492795389
Three Worlds Collide (Eliezer Yudkowsky):
Whole Thing: 891 0.5117748420448018
Partially And Intend To Finish: 35 0.020103388856978748
Partially And Abandoned: 36 0.02067777139574957
Never: 287 0.16484778862722574
Never Heard Of It: 492 0.28259620907524413
The Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant (Nick Bostrom):
Whole Thing: 729 0.4184845005740528
Partially And Intend To Finish: 31 0.017795637198622274
Partially And Abandoned: 15 0.008610792192881744
Never: 205 0.11768082663605052
Never Heard Of It: 762 0.43742824339839265
The World of Null-A (A. E. van Vogt):
Whole Thing: 93 0.05378831694621168
Partially And Intend To Finish: 18 0.010410641989589358
Partially And Abandoned: 25 0.014459224985540775
Never: 430 0.24869866975130134
Never Heard Of It: 1163 0.6726431463273569
Synthesis (Sharon Mitchell):
Whole Thing: 7 0.004098360655737705
Partially And Intend To Finish: 2 0.00117096018735363
Partially And Abandoned: 8 0.00468384074941452
Never: 217 0.12704918032786885
Never Heard Of It: 1474 0.8629976580796253
Worm (Wildbow):
Whole Thing: 502 0.28800917957544464
Partially And Intend To Finish: 168 0.0963855421686747
Partially And Abandoned: 185 0.10613884107860011
Never: 431 0.2472748135398738
Never Heard Of It: 457 0.2621916236374068
Pact (Wildbow):
Whole Thing: 138 0.07963069821119446
Partially And Intend To Finish: 59 0.034045008655510675
Partially And Abandoned: 148 0.08540103866128101
Never: 501 0.2890940565493364
Never Heard Of It: 887 0.5118291979226774
Twig (Wildbow):
Whole Thing: 55 0.031810294968189705
Partially And Intend To Finish: 132 0.07634470792365529
Partially And Abandoned: 66 0.038172353961827644
Never: 560 0.32388663967611336
Never Heard Of It: 916 0.529786003470214
StoriesRead2:
Ra (Sam Hughes):
Whole Thing: 269 0.15504322766570605
Partially And Intend To Finish: 81 0.04668587896253602
Partially And Abandoned: 95 0.05475504322766571
Never: 314 0.1809798270893372
Never Heard Of It: 976 0.562536023054755
My Little Pony: Friendship Is Optimal (Iceman):
Whole Thing: 424 0.24409902130109384
Partially And Intend To Finish: 17 0.00978698906160046
Partially And Abandoned: 65 0.03742084052964882
Never: 559 0.32181922855497985
Never Heard Of It: 672 0.38687392055267705
Friendship Is Optimal: Caelum Est Conterrens (Chatoyance):
Whole Thing: 217 0.1266044340723454
Partially And Intend To Finish: 17 0.009918319719953326
Partially And Abandoned: 24 0.014002333722287048
Never: 411 0.2397899649941657
Never Heard Of It: 1045 0.6096849474912486
Ender's Game (Orson Scott Card):
Whole Thing: 1182 0.6723549488054608
Partially And Intend To Finish: 23 0.013083048919226393
Partially And Abandoned: 43 0.024459613196814563
Never: 395 0.22468714448236632
Never Heard Of It: 115 0.06541524459613197
The Diamond Age (Neal Stephenson):
Whole Thing: 443 0.25430539609644087
Partially And Intend To Finish: 37 0.02123995407577497
Partially And Abandoned: 56 0.03214695752009185
Never: 577 0.3312284730195178
Never Heard Of It: 629 0.3610792192881745
Consider Phlebas (Iain Banks):
Whole Thing: 304 0.17572254335260115
Partially And Intend To Finish: 52 0.03005780346820809
Partially And Abandoned: 47 0.02716763005780347
Never: 441 0.2549132947976879
Never Heard Of It: 886 0.5121387283236994
The Metamorphosis Of Prime Intellect (Roger Williams):
Whole Thing: 226 0.13185530921820304
Partially And Intend To Finish: 11 0.006417736289381563
Partially And Abandoned: 24 0.014002333722287048
Never: 322 0.18786464410735124
Never Heard Of It: 1131 0.6598599766627772
Accelerando (Charles Stross):
Whole Thing: 294 0.17043478260869566
Partially And Intend To Finish: 46 0.02666666666666667
Partially And Abandoned: 66 0.03826086956521739
Never: 427 0.24753623188405796
Never Heard Of It: 892 0.5171014492753623
A Fire Upon The Deep (Vernor Vinge):
Whole Thing: 348 0.1997703788748565
Partially And Intend To Finish: 31 0.017795637198622274
Partially And Abandoned: 41 0.023536165327210104
Never: 509 0.29219288174512054
Never Heard Of It: 813 0.46670493685419057
Machine Intelligence Research Institute
Do you know what the Machine Intelligence Research Institute is?:
Yes: 1547 0.852
No but I've heard of it: 175 0.096
No: 93 0.051
Have you ever read a paper from the Machine Intelligence Research Institute?:
Yes: 467 0.258
Partially: 500 0.276
No: 846 0.467
Would you consider working for the Machine Intelligence Research Institute?:
Yes: 974 0.547
No: 805 0.453
Do you think you're trustworthy enough not to let an AI out of the box?:
Yes: 474 0.275
No: 1248 0.725
Have you ever practiced not letting an AI out of the box?:
Yes with Eliezer's Ruleset: 20 0.011
Yes with Tuxedage's Ruleset: 6 0.003
Yes with a different ruleset: 19 0.011
No but I've been the AI: 40 0.023
No: 1692 0.952
On a scale of one to five (where one is "Strongly disagree" and five is "Strongly agree"), rate how much you agree with this statement: "MIRI's mission of doing mathematical research relevant to friendly self-improving artificial intelligence is very important.":
On a scale of one to five (where one is "Strongly disagree" and five is "Strongly agree"), rate how much you agree with this statement: "Whether or not I agree with MIRI's goals, I believe MIRI is a well-run organization that pursues its goals effectively.":
Center For Applied Rationality (Bonus Section)
Do you know what the Center For Applied Rationality is?:
Yes: 1289 0.734
No but I've heard of it: 288 0.164
No: 178 0.101
Have you attended CFAR?:
No, and I don't plan to: 852 0.501
No, and I would like to: 733 0.431
I have attended a paid or volunteer program with CFAR: 109 0.064
I have led a program at CFAR: 8 0.005
Think about your current set of skills, your habits, the things you spend your time on, how you interact with other people, the intellectual questions that you find engaging, the goals you’re aiming towards, and the challenges that you’re currently facing going forward. Next, think about how you were one year ago on each of these dimensions. How different are you now from how you were one year ago?:
Not at all different: 107 0.062
Slightly different: 567 0.327
Somewhat different: 677 0.391
Very different: 316 0.182
Extremely different : 0 0.0
(optional) In about one sentence, what is one difference that stands out as being particularly large or significant?:
(Optional) Can you think of any changes that you’ve made in the past month to your daily routines or habits in order to make things go better? These can be tiny changes (e.g., adjusted the curtains on my bedroom window so that less light comes in while I’m sleeping) or large ones. Spend about 60 seconds recalling as many examples of these kinds of changes as you can and listing them here. (If you want to skip this question, leave it blank. If you spend the 60 seconds and no specific examples come to mind, write "none."):
What's your overall opinion of the Center For Applied Rationality?
: Positive: 377 0.225 Mostly Positive: 414 0.248 No strong opinion: 802 0.48 Mostly Negative: 63 0.038 Negative: 16 0.01 Effective Altruism (Bonus Section) Do you know what Effective Altruism is?: Yes: 1567 0.892 No but I've heard of it: 115 0.065 No: 74 0.042 Do you self-identify as an Effective Altruist?: Yes: 667 0.392 No: 1034 0.608 Do you participate in the Effective Altruism community?: Yes: 315 0.184 No: 1395 0.816 Has Effective Altruism caused you to make donations you otherwise wouldn't?: Yes: 667 0.392 No: 1035 0.608 Have you ever had any kind of moral anxiety over Effective Altruism?: Yes: 504 0.297 Yes but only because I worry about everything: 184 0.108 No: 1011 0.595 What's your overall opinion of Effective Altruism?: Positive: 813 0.476 Mostly Positive: 536 0.314 No strong opinion: 258 0.151 Mostly Negative: 76 0.045 Negative: 24 0.014 Politics (Bonus Section) With which of these political positions do you most identify?: Progressive: 217 0.142 Communist: 13 0.009 Socialist: 126 0.083 Conservative: 38 0.025 Fascist: 5 0.003 Neoreactionary: 28 0.018 Social Democrat: 237 0.155 Moderate: 67 0.044 Pragmatist: 131 0.086 Anarchist: 50 0.033 Libertarian: 190 0.124 Left-Libertarian: 245 0.16 Objectivist: 10 0.007 Monarchist: 5 0.003 Futarchist: 31 0.02 Totalitarian: 2 0.001 Other: 126 0.0825147347740668 Did you vote in your country's last major national election?: Yes: 1155 0.689 No: 513 0.306 My country does not hold elections: 8 0.005 If you are an American, what party are you registered with?: Democratic Party: 362 0.246 Republican Party: 72 0.049 Libertarian Party: 26 0.018 Other third party: 16 0.011 Not registered for a party: 452 0.307 (option for non-Americans who want an option): 542 0.369 On a scale from 1 (not interested at all) to 5 (extremely interested), how would you describe your level of interest in politics?: How would you describe your opinion on abortion laws?: Abortion: Pro-Life: 104 0.06114050558495003 Lean Pro-Life: 97 0.05702527924750147 No strong opinion: 77 0.04526748971193416 Lean Pro-Choice: 265 0.1557907113462669 Pro-Choice: 1158 0.6807760141093474 How would you describe your opinion on immigration?: Immigration: Should be more open: 671 0.3970414201183432 Lean more open: 508 0.3005917159763314 No strong opinion: 264 0.15621301775147928 Lean more restricted: 140 0.08284023668639054 Should be more restricted: 107 0.06331360946745562 How would you describe your opinion on taxes in your country?: Taxes: Should be lower: 225 0.13321492007104796 Lean towards lower: 237 0.14031971580817051 No strong opinion: 546 0.32326820603907636 Lean towards higher: 417 0.2468916518650089 Should be higher: 264 0.15630550621669628 How would you describe your opinion on minimum wage laws in your country?: Minimum Wage: Should be lower or eliminated: 288 0.17142857142857143 Lean towards lower or eliminated: 202 0.12023809523809524 No strong opinion: 510 0.30357142857142855 Lean towards higher: 385 0.22916666666666666 Should be higher: 295 0.17559523809523808 How would you describe your opinion of feminism, as you understand the term? See also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feminism for more information: Feminism: Very unfavorable: 151 0.08977407847800238 Unfavorable: 250 0.14863258026159334 No strong opinion: 252 0.14982164090368608 Favorable: 612 0.3638525564803805 Very favorable: 417 0.2479191438763377 How would you describe your opinion of social justice, as you understand the term? See also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_justice for more information: Social Justice: Very unfavorable: 341 0.2037037037037037 Unfavorable: 372 0.2222222222222222 No strong opinion: 290 0.17323775388291518 Favorable: 462 0.27598566308243727 Very favorable: 209 0.12485065710872162 How would you describe your opinion of the idea of "human biodiversity", as you understand the term? No Wiki page available, but essentially it is the belief that there are important genetic differences between human populations and that therefore ideas generally considered racist, such as different races having different average intelligence or personality traits, are in fact scientifically justified: Human Biodiversity: Very unfavorable: 231 0.1391566265060241 Unfavorable: 384 0.23132530120481928 No strong opinion: 517 0.31144578313253013 Favorable: 399 0.24036144578313254 Very favorable: 129 0.07771084337349397 How would you describe your opinion of a Basic Income Guarantee in your country? See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_Income_Guarantee for more information.: Basic Income: Strongly oppose: 64 0.03804994054696789 Oppose: 110 0.06539833531510107 No strong opinion: 261 0.15517241379310345 Support: 626 0.37217598097502974 Strongly support: 621 0.3692033293697979 Do you believe we are currently in or entering a "Great Stagnation", as proposed by Tyler Cowen and Peter Thiel, during which technological growth slows drastically? See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Stagnation for more information: Great Stagnation: Strongly doubt: 270 0.1638349514563107 Doubt: 637 0.38652912621359226 No strong opinion: 555 0.33677184466019416 Believe: 157 0.09526699029126214 Strongly believe: 29 0.017597087378640776 Calibration Questions Do you understand the instructions above?: Yes, I understand I should answer in percentages between 0 and 100: 1646 0.975 No, I don't read instructions and am going to ruin the survey results for everyone: 43 0.025 CalibrationQuestions: Probabilities ProbabilityQuestions: : Please give the obvious answer to this question, so I can automatically throw away all surveys that don't follow the rules: What is the probability of a fair coin coming up heads? : Sum: 80213.9989998995 Mean: 49.82235962726677 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 What is the probability that the Many Worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics is more or less correct?: Sum: 57876.2765532333 Mean: 44.588810903877736 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 What is the probability that non-human, non-Earthly intelligent life exists in the observable universe?: Sum: 109378.29058157398 Mean: 75.74673862989889 Median: 90.0 Mode: 99.0 ...in the Milky Way galaxy?: Sum: 64163.32026926869 Mean: 46.66423292310451 Median: 50.0 Mode: 10.0 What is the probability that supernatural events (including God, ghosts, magic, etc) have occurred since the beginning of the universe?: Sum: 12624.714712170931 Mean: 13.574962056097743 Median: 1.0 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that there is a god, defined as a supernatural intelligent entity who created the universe?: Sum: 15535.557953131427 Mean: 15.458266620031244 Median: 1.0 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that any of humankind's revealed religions is more or less correct?: Sum: 8578.60633673673 Mean: 10.603963333419902 Median: 0.5 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that an average person cryonically frozen today will be successfully restored to life at some future time, conditional on no global catastrophe destroying civilization before then?: Sum: 29494.64525290689 Mean: 21.24974441852082 Median: 10.0 Mode: 5.0 What is the probability that at least one person living at this moment will reach an age of one thousand years, conditional on no global catastrophe destroying civilization in that time?: Sum: 34398.58545244187 Mean: 25.25593645553737 Median: 10.0 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that our universe is a simulation?: Sum: 30459.535304433874 Mean: 25.235737617592296 Median: 10.0 Mode: 50.0 What is the probability that significant global warming is occurring or will soon occur, and is primarily caused by human actions?: Sum: 122103.09299969983 Mean: 83.34682116020471 Median: 90.0 Mode: 90.0 What is the probability that the human race will make it to 2100 without any catastrophe that wipes out more than 90% of humanity?: Sum: 111393.97345414276 Mean: 76.29724209187863 Median: 80.0 Mode: 80.0 Futurology Cryonics (Section Header): Are you signed up for cryonics?: Yes - signed up or just finishing up paperwork: 48 0.029 No - would like to sign up but unavailable in my area: 104 0.063 No - would like to sign up but haven't gotten around to it: 181 0.109 No - would like to sign up but can't afford it: 230 0.139 No - still considering it: 557 0.336 No - and do not want to sign up for cryonics: 472 0.284 Never thought about it / don't understand: 68 0.041 Do you think cryonics, as currently practiced by Alcor/Cryonics Institute will work?: Yes: 106 0.065 Maybe: 1043 0.643 No: 473 0.292 Do you think cryonics works in principle?: Yes: 804 0.492 Maybe: 703 0.43 No: 127 0.078 Singularity (Section Header): By what year do you think the Singularity will occur? Answer such that you think, conditional on the Singularity occurring, there is an even chance of the Singularity falling before or after this year. If you think a singularity is so unlikely you don't even want to condition on it, leave this question blank.: Sum: 1.0000000000590109e+20 Mean: 8.090614887208986e+16 Median: 2080.0 Mode: 2100.0 Have you ever made any kind of personal health change with the goal of living to see the singularity? (If multiple please separate with commas.): Superbabies (Section Header): Would you ever consider having your child genetically modified for any reason?: Yes: 1557 0.959 No: 67 0.041 Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified to prevent them from getting an inheritable disease?: Yes: 1391 0.854 Depends on the disease: 209 0.128 No: 28 0.017 Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified for improvement purposes? (eg. To heighten their intelligence or reduce their risk of schizophrenia.): Yes : 0 0.0 Maybe a little: 177 0.109 Depends on the strength of the improvements: 264 0.162 No: 84 0.052 Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified for cosmetic reasons? (eg. To make them taller or have a certain eye color.): Yes: 500 0.309 Maybe a little: 382 0.236 Depends on the strength of the improvements: 280 0.173 No: 457 0.282 What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for disease prevention purposes?: Positive: 1181 0.717 Mostly Positive: 312 0.189 No strong opinion: 112 0.068 Mostly Negative: 29 0.018 Negative: 13 0.008 What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for improvement purposes?: Positive: 740 0.449 Mostly Positive: 483 0.293 No strong opinion: 273 0.166 Mostly Negative: 112 0.068 Negative: 39 0.024 What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for cosmetic reasons?: Positive: 292 0.177 Mostly Positive: 292 0.177 No strong opinion: 576 0.35 Mostly Negative: 331 0.201 Negative: 157 0.095 Technological Unemployment (Futurology Part 2) Do you think the Luddite's Fallacy is an actual fallacy?: Yes: 444 0.309 No: 995 0.691 By what year do you think the majority of people in your country will have trouble finding employment for automation related reasons? If you think this is something that will never happen leave this question blank.: Sum: 2216340.0 Mean: 2102.789373814042 Median: 2050.0 Mode: 2050.0 Do you think the "end of work" would be a good thing?: Yes: 1243 0.813 No: 286 0.187 If machines end all or almost all employment, what are your biggest worries? Pick two.: People will just idle about in destructive ways: Yes: 515 0.1670450859552384 No: 1184 0.38404151800194614 People need work to be fulfilled and if we eliminate work we'll all feel deep existential angst: Yes: 544 0.17645150827116446 No: 1155 0.3746350956860201 The rich are going to take all the resources for themselves and leave the rest of us to starve or live in poverty: Yes: 1070 0.3470645475186507 No: 629 0.20402205643853388 The machines won't need us, and we'll starve to death or be otherwise liquidated: Yes: 416 0.1349335063250081 No: 1283 0.41615309763217645 Other: Yes: 0 0.0 No: 0 0.0 The next question isn't exactly related to technological unemployment, but making a part three for one question seemed impractical.: Which disaster do you think is most likely to wipe out greater than 90% of humanity before the year 2100?: Nuclear war: 327 0.206 Asteroid strike: 64 0.04 Unfriendly AI: 272 0.172 Nanotech / grey goo: 18 0.011 Pandemic (natural): 121 0.076 Pandemic (bioengineered): 356 0.225 Environmental collapse (including global warming): 254 0.16 Economic / political collapse: 136 0.086 Other: 35 0.022082018927444796 Charity (Bonus Section) What is your approximate annual income in US dollars (non-Americans: convert at www.xe.com)? Obviously you don't need to answer this question if you don't want to. Please don't include commas or dollar signs.: Sum: 66114964.47384 Mean: 64439.536524210525 Median: 40000.0 Mode: 30000.0 How much money, in number of dollars, have you donated to charity over the past year? (non-Americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/ ). Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. For example, 4000: Sum: 2392840.6530000004 Mean: 2907.4613037667073 Median: 356.0 Mode: 100.0 How much money have you donated to charities aiming to reduce existential risk (other than MIRI/CFAR) in the past year?: Sum: 169700.89 Mean: 1973.2661627906978 Median: 200.0 Mode: 100.0 How much have you donated in US dollars to the following charities in the past year? (Non-americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/) Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. Options starting with "any" aren't the name of a charity but a category of charity.: How much have you donated in US dollars to the following charities in the past year? (Non-americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/) Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. Options starting with "any" aren't the name of a charity but a category of charity.: Against Malaria Foundation: Sum: 483935.027 Mean: 1905.2560118110237 Median: 300.0 Mode: All values found equally likely. Schistosomiasis Control Initiative: Sum: 47908.0 Mean: 840.4912280701755 Median: 200.0 Mode: 1000.0 Deworm the World Initiative : Sum: 28820.0 Mean: 565.0980392156863 Median: 150.0 Mode: 500.0 GiveDirectly: Sum: 154410.177 Mean: 1429.723861111111 Median: 450.0 Mode: 50.0 Any kind of animal rights charity: Sum: 83130.47 Mean: 1093.8219736842104 Median: 154.235 Mode: 500.0 Any kind of bug rights charity: Sum: 1083.0 Mean: 270.75 Median: 157.5 Mode: All values found equally likely. Machine Intelligence Research Institute: Sum: 141792.5 Mean: 1417.925 Median: 100.0 Mode: 100.0 Any charity combating nuclear existential risk: Sum: 491.0 Mean: 81.83333333333333 Median: 75.0 Mode: 100.0 Any charity combating global warming: Sum: 13412.0 Mean: 248.37037037037038 Median: 100.0 Mode: 10.0 Center For Applied Rationality: Sum: 127101.0 Mean: 3177.525 Median: 150.0 Mode: 100.0 Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence Research Foundation: Sum: 9429.0 Mean: 554.6470588235294 Median: 100.0 Mode: 20.0 Wikipedia: Sum: 12965.5 Mean: 53.79875518672199 Median: 20.0 Mode: 10.0 Internet Archive: Sum: 2975.04 Mean: 80.40648648648649 Median: 30.0 Mode: 50.0 Any campaign for political office: Sum: 39333.99 Mean: 364.2036111111111 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 Other: Sum: 566590.46 Mean: 1656.6972514619881 Median: 200.0 Mode: 100.0 Do you follow any dietary restrictions related to animal products?: Yes, I am vegan: 55 0.035 Yes, I am vegetarian: 158 0.099 Yes, I restrict meat some other way (pescetarian, flexitarian, try to only eat ethically sourced meat): 377 0.237 No: 999 0.629 Wrapping Up Have you taken a previous LessWrong Survey?: Yes: 772 0.469 No: 874 0.531 Would you like to be put on a mailing list to hear about future developments in revitalizing LessWrong or new 'rationalist' communities? If yes put in your email address below. (This is optional and will not be published in the public survey results.):