Privacy Can we include your survey data in a public dataset?: Yes: 2571 0.958 No: 113 0.042 Do you consent to having your survey responses being used as part of a research paper?: Yes: 2576 0.96 No: 106 0.04 Demographic Information Age: Sum: 66645.9 Mean: 28.108772669759592 Median: 26.0 Mode: 23.0 Sex - What sex were you assigned at birth?: Male: 2021 0.835 Female: 393 0.162 Other: 6 0.0024783147459727386 Gender - With what gender do you primarily identify?: F (cisgender): 321 0.133 F (transgender MtF): 65 0.027 M (cisgender): 1829 0.76 M (transgender FtM): 23 0.01 Other: 156 0.06483790523690773 Country - If multiple possible answers, please choose the one you most identify with. Twelve popular answers are given below; otherwise please write your country into "Other" in the same format as the answers given: United States: 1298 0.537 United Kingdom: 183 0.076 Canada: 144 0.06 Australia: 141 0.058 Germany: 85 0.035 Russia: 57 0.024 Finland: 25 0.01 New Zealand: 26 0.011 India: 24 0.01 Brazil: 16 0.007 France: 34 0.014 Israel: 29 0.012 Other: 354 0.14646255688870502 Race - With what race do you most identify? "Hispanic" is a term mostly used in the US referring to people whose ethnic background is from Mexico, Central  America, and South America.: Asian (East Asian): 80 0.033 Asian (Indian subcontinent): 60 0.025 Middle Eastern: 14 0.006 Black: 12 0.005 White (non-Hispanic): 2059 0.858 Hispanic: 57 0.024 Other: 108 0.045 Sex, Relationships What is your sexual orientation?: Heterosexual: 1640 0.704 Homosexual: 103 0.044 Bisexual: 428 0.184 Other: 144 0.061802575107296136 Are you asexual?: Yes: 171 0.074 No: 2129 0.926 What is your preferred relationship style?: Prefer monogomous: 1190 0.509 Prefer polyamorous: 426 0.182 Uncertain/no preference: 673 0.288 Other: 45 0.019263698630136987 Number of Partners: 0: 1094 0.468 1: 1039 0.444 2: 107 0.046 3: 46 0.02 4: 15 0.006 5: 8 0.003 Lots and lots: 29 0.012 Relationship Goals: ...and seeking more relationship partners: 577 0.248 ...and possibly open to more relationship partners: 716 0.308 ...and currently not looking for more relationship partners: 1034 0.444 Are you married?: Yes: 443 0.19 No: 1885 0.81 Who do you currently live with most of the time?
: Alone: 487 0.208 With parents and/or guardians: 476 0.203 With partner and/or children: 687 0.294 With roommates: 619 0.265 Other: 69 0.029487179487179487 How many children do you have?: 0: 2042 0.87 1: 115 0.049 2: 124 0.053 3: 48 0.02 4: 7 0.003 5: 6 0.003 6: 2 0.001 Lots and lots: 3 0.001 Are you planning on having more children?: Yes: 720 0.307 Uncertain: 755 0.322 No: 869 0.371 Employment, Occupation, Education What do you currently do?: Student: Yes: 968 0.3139798897178073 No: 1442 0.46772624067466756 Academics (on the teaching side): Yes: 205 0.06649367499189102 No: 2205 0.7152124554005839 Self-employed: Yes: 309 0.10022705157314304 No: 2101 0.6814790788193318 Independently wealthy: Yes: 42 0.013623094388582549 No: 2368 0.7680830360038923 Non-profit work: Yes: 152 0.04930262731106066 No: 2258 0.7324035030814142 For-profit work: Yes: 954 0.3094388582549465 No: 1456 0.4722672721375284 Government work: Yes: 135 0.043788517677586763 No: 2275 0.7379176127148881 Homemaker: Yes: 47 0.015244891339604282 No: 2363 0.7664612390528706 Unemployed : Yes: 228 0.07395394096659098 No: 2182 0.7077521894258839 In what area do you currently work or study?: Philosophy: 54 0.024 Finance / Economics: 116 0.052 Statistics: 44 0.02 Computers (AI): 79 0.035 Computers (other academic, computer science): 156 0.07 Computers (practical: IT, programming, etc.): 681 0.305 Physics: 91 0.041 Biology: 49 0.022 Medicine: 49 0.022 Mathematics: 147 0.066 Neuroscience: 28 0.013 Other "hard science": 26 0.012 Psychology: 48 0.021 Other "social science": 48 0.021 Engineering: 150 0.067 Business: 72 0.032 Law: 50 0.022 Art: 51 0.023 Other: 277 0.12399283795881827 What is your highest education credential earned?: None: 96 0.042 High School: 617 0.267 2 year degree: 105 0.045 Bachelor's: 815 0.353 Master's: 415 0.18 JD/MD/other professional degree: 66 0.029 PhD: 145 0.063 Other: 39 0.016883116883116882 IQ And Other Numbers That Purport To Measure Your Intelligence (Bonus Section) IQ - Please give the score you got on your most recent PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC IQ test - no Internet tests, please! All tests should have the standard average of  100 and stdev of 15.: Sum: 90972.48999999999 Mean: 138.466499238965 Median: 138.0 Mode: 135.0 IQ Age - At what age, in years, did you take the IQ test above?: Sum: 21626.0 Mean: 32.916286149162865 Median: 17.0 Mode: 16.0 IQ Type - Please give a short  description of the IQ test you took, for example "It was Wechsler Adult  Intelligence Scale administered at my school". If you don't remember or  don't know how to describe the test, leave this blank.: SAT scores out of 1600 - American students take the SATs before going to college. In olden days, the test was scored out of 1600. if you have an SAT score out of 1600, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.: Sum: 635725.0 Mean: 1458.084862385321 Median: 1490.0 Mode: 1600.0 SAT scores out of 2400 - American students take the SATs before going to college. Nowadays, the test is scored out of 2400. If you have an SAT score out of 2400, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.: Sum: 1068102.0 Mean: 2206.8223140495866 Median: 2240.0 Mode: 2340.0 ACT score out of 36 - Some American students take the ACTs before going to college. If you have an ACT score out of 36, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.: Sum: 12379.0 Mean: 32.40575916230367 Median: 33.0 Mode: 35.0 Politics, Religion, Ethics Given that no label can completely describe a person's political views, with which of these labels do you MOST identify?: Libertarian, for example like the US Libertarian Party: socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no distribution of wealth: 519 0.251 Conservative, for example the US Republican Party and UK Tories: traditional values, low taxes, low redistribution of wealth: 115 0.056 Liberal, for example the US Democratic Party or the UK Labour Party: socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth: 614 0.297 Social democratic, for example Scandinavian countries: socially permissive, high taxes, major redistribution of wealth: 786 0.381 Communist, for example the old Soviet Union: complete state control of many facets of life: 30 0.015 How would you describe your religious views?: Committed theist: 115 0.053 Lukewarm theist: 80 0.037 Deist/Pantheist/etc.: 57 0.026 Agnostic: 250 0.116 Atheist but spiritual: 170 0.079 Atheist and not spiritual: 1491 0.689 Which best describes the religion you believe?: Christian (Catholic): 72 0.148 Christian (Other non-Protestant, eg Eastern Orthodox): 19 0.039 Christian (Protestant): 99 0.203 Christian (Mormon): 8 0.016 Hindu: 11 0.023 Buddhist: 39 0.08 Traditional Chinese: 2 0.004 Muslim: 5 0.01 Unitarian Universalism or similar: 26 0.053 Jewish: 57 0.117 Mixed/Other: 49 0.101 Other: 69 0.14168377823408623 How would you describe the religious views of your family when you were growing up?: Committed theist: 551 0.255 Lukewarm theist: 716 0.331 Deist/Pantheist/etc: 44 0.02 Agnostic: 247 0.114 Atheist but spiritual: 114 0.053 Atheist and not spiritual: 346 0.16 Mixed / Other: 100 0.046 Other: 42 0.01943544655252198 What is your family's religious background, as of the last time your family practiced a religion?: Christian (Catholic): 589 0.281 Christian (Other non-Protestant, eg Eastern Orthodox): 159 0.076 Christian (Protestant): 776 0.37 Christian (Mormon): 37 0.018 Hindu: 42 0.02 Buddhist: 17 0.008 Traditional Chinese: 19 0.009 Muslim: 15 0.007 Unitarian Universalism or similar: 45 0.021 Jewish: 207 0.099 Mixed/Other: 96 0.046 Other: 94 0.04478323010957599 With which of these meta-ethical views do you MOST identify? (Bonus Question): Non-cognitivism: Moral statements don't express propositions and can neither be true nor false. "Murder is wrong" means something like "Boo murder!".: 187 0.095 Error theory: Moral statements have a truth-value, but attempt to describe features of the world that don't exist. "Murder is wrong" and "Murder is right" are both false statements because moral rightness and wrongness aren't features that exist.: 100 0.051 Subjectivism: Some moral statements are true, but not universally, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by non-universal opinions or prescriptions, and there is no non-attitudinal determinant of rightness and wrongness. "Murder is wrong" means something like "My culture has judged murder to be wrong" or "I've judged murder to be wrong".: 555 0.282 Substantive realism: Some moral statements are true, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by mind-independent moral properties. "Murder is wrong" means that murder has an objective mind-independent property of wrongness that we discover by empirical investigation, intuition, or some other method.: 347 0.176 Constructivism: Some moral statements are true, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by whether an agent would accept it if they were undergoing a process of rational deliberation. "Murder is wrong" can mean something like "Societal agreement to the rule 'do not murder' is instrumentally rational".: 781 0.396 Experience With LessWrong How Did You Find LessWrong?: Been here since it was started in the Overcoming Bias days: 171 0.083 Referred by a link: 276 0.134 HPMOR: 542 0.263 Overcoming Bias: 81 0.039 Referred by a friend: 265 0.129 Referred by a search engine: 131 0.064 Referred by other fiction: 14 0.007 Slate Star Codex: 243 0.118 Reddit: 57 0.028 Common Sense Atheism: 19 0.009 Hacker News: 48 0.023 Gwern: 23 0.011 Other: 193 0.0935984481086324 How do you use Less Wrong?: I lurk, but never registered an account: 1125 0.544 I've registered an account, but never posted: 271 0.131 I've posted a comment, but never a top-level post: 419 0.203 I've posted in Discussion, but not Main: 179 0.087 I've posted in Main: 73 0.035 How often do you comment on LessWrong?: I have commented more than once a week for the past year.: 26 0.013 I have commented more than once a month for the past year but less than once a week.: 63 0.031 I have commented but less than once a month for the past year.: 226 0.111 I have not commented this year.: 1725 0.846 How Long Since You Last Posted On LessWrong?: How Long Since You Last Posted On LessWrong?: I wrote one today.: 14 0.007395668251452721 Within the last three days.: 14 0.007395668251452721 Within the last week.: 22 0.01162176439513999 Within the last month.: 58 0.0306391970417327 Within the last three months.: 76 0.040147913365029056 Within the last six months.: 68 0.03592181722134179 Within the last year.: 84 0.044374009508716325 Within the last five years.: 295 0.15583729529846804 Longer than five years.: 15 0.00792393026941363 I've never posted on LW.: 1247 0.658742736397253  About how much of  the Sequences - the collection of Eliezer Yudkowsky's original posts -  have you read? You can find a list of them here.: Never knew they existed until this moment: 217 0.104 Knew they existed, but never looked at them: 103 0.049 Some, but less than 25%: 442 0.211 About 25%: 260 0.124 About 50%: 284 0.135 About 75%: 299 0.143 All or almost all: 491 0.234 Do you attend Less Wrong meetups?: Yes, regularly: 160 0.077 Yes, once or a few times: 407 0.195 No: 1524 0.729 Is physical interaction with the Less Wrong community otherwise a part of your everyday life, for example do you live with other Less Wrongers, or you are close friends and frequently go out with them?: Yes, all the time: 161 0.077 Yes, sometimes: 258 0.124 No: 1659 0.798 Have you ever been in a romantic relationship with someone you met through the Less Wrong community?: Yes: 132 0.063 I didn’t meet them through the community but they’re part of the community now: 102 0.049 No: 1858 0.888 Roko's Basilisk (Bonus Section) Do you know what Roko's Basilisk thought experiment is?: Yes: 1521 0.732 No but I've heard of it: 158 0.076 No: 398 0.192 Where did you read Roko's argument for the Basilisk?: Roko's post on LessWrong: 323 0.202 Reddit: 171 0.107 XKCD: 61 0.038 LessWrong Wiki: 234 0.146 A news article: 71 0.044 Word of mouth: 222 0.139 RationalWiki: 314 0.196 Other: 194 0.1214017521902378 Do you think Roko's argument for the Basilisk is correct?: Yes: 75 0.051 Yes but I don't think it's logical conclusions apply for other reasons: 339 0.231 No: 1055 0.718 Do you think Basilisk-like thought experiments are dangerous?: Yes, I think they're dangerous for decision theory reasons: 63 0.042 Yes I think they're dangerous for social reasons (eg. A cult might use them): 194 0.128 Yes I think they're dangerous for decision theory and social reasons: 136 0.09 Yes I think they're socially dangerous because they make everybody involved look foolish: 253 0.167 Yes I think they're dangerous for other reasons: 54 0.036 No: 809 0.534 Have you ever felt any sort of anxiety about the Basilisk?: Yes: 142 0.088 Yes but only because I worry about everything: 189 0.118 No: 1275 0.794 What is the longest span of time you've spent worrying about the Basilisk?: What is the longest span of time you've spent worrying about the Basilisk?: I haven't: 714 0.47035573122529645 A few seconds: 237 0.15612648221343872 A minute: 298 0.1963109354413702 An hour: 176 0.11594202898550725 A day: 40 0.026350461133069828 Two days: 16 0.010540184453227932 Three days: 12 0.007905138339920948 A week: 12 0.007905138339920948 A month: 5 0.0032938076416337285 One to three months: 2 0.0013175230566534915 Three to six months: 0 0.0 Six to nine months: 0 0.0 Nine months to a year: 1 0.0006587615283267457 Over a year: 1 0.0006587615283267457 Years: 4 0.002635046113306983 Are you currently worrying about the Basilisk?: Yes: 29 0.018 Yes but only because I worry about everything: 60 0.037 No: 1522 0.945 Mental Health (Bonus Section) Have you ever been diagnosed with depression?: No: 0 0.0 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 0 0.0 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 0 0.0 Have you ever been diagnosed with obsessive compulsive disorder?: No: 1858 0.917 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 114 0.056 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 54 0.027 Have you ever been diagnosed with any autism spectrum disorder?: No: 1602 0.79 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 261 0.129 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 166 0.082 Have you ever been diagnosed with any variant of attention deficit disorder?: No: 1544 0.759 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 212 0.104 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 277 0.136 Have you ever been diagnosed with bipolar disorder?: No: 1923 0.95 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 56 0.028 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 45 0.022 Have you ever been  diagnosed with any anxiety disorder, eg panic disorder, generalized  anxiety disorder, social anxiety disorder?: No: 1399 0.689 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 354 0.174 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 278 0.137 Have you ever been diagnosed with borderline personality disorder?: No: 1985 0.982 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 24 0.012 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 13 0.006 Have you ever been diagnosed with schizophrenia?: No: 2006 0.988 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 8 0.004 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 16 0.008 Have you ever been diagnosed with substance use disorder?: No: 1930 0.951 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 73 0.036 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 26 0.013 Have you ever wondered whether you might have a substance abuse problem?: Yes: 313 0.154 Yes but only because I worry about everything: 198 0.097 No: 1522 0.749 Have your friends and family ever expressed concern that you are abusing substances?: Yes: 157 0.077 Yes but only because they worry about everything: 113 0.056 Yes but only because they're suspicious of pharmaceutical medication: 51 0.025 No: 1715 0.842 What were the biggest problems with LessWrong at its peak? Philosophical Issues: Over Reliance On The Sequences.: Yes: 345 0.11190398962049951 No: 1728 0.5604930262731106 Focus On AI.: Yes: 259 0.08400908206292572 No: 1814 0.5883879338306844 Focus On Cryonics.: Yes: 256 0.08303600389231268 No: 1817 0.5893610120012974 Criticism Of The Scientific Method.: Yes: 122 0.03957184560493026 No: 1951 0.6328251702886799 Too Much Jargon.: Yes: 485 0.157314304249108 No: 1588 0.5150827116445021 Too Focused On Abstract Junk.: Yes: 246 0.07979240999026922 No: 1827 0.5926046059033409 I Wasn't Around For Its Peak. : Yes: 922 0.2990593577684074 No: 1151 0.3733376581252027 [Write in below]: Yes: 199 0.06454751865066494 No: 1874 0.6078494972429452 [Write in below]: Yes: 39 0.01265001621796951 No: 2034 0.6597469996756407 Write in one:: Write in two:: Community Issues: Not Enough In Person Interaction.: Yes: 164 0.05319493999351281 No: 1909 0.6192020759000973 Overly High Standards For Content Submission.: Yes: 198 0.06422315926046059 No: 1875 0.6081738566331495 Failure to cite sources.: Yes: 159 0.05157314304249108 No: 1914 0.6208238728511191 Can't Find Things Quickly Enough To Maintain Interest.: Yes: 161 0.05222186182289977 No: 1912 0.6201751540707103 Lame Forum Software.: Yes: 218 0.07071034706454751 No: 1855 0.6016866688290626 Too Autistic.: Yes: 115 0.037301329873499836 No: 1958 0.6350956860201102 Too Tolerant Of Trolls/Cranks.: Yes: 148 0.04800518975024327 No: 1925 0.6243918261433669 Too Tolerant Of Laziness.: Yes: 65 0.021083360363282518 No: 2008 0.6513136555303276 Too Tolerant Of Creepy People.: Yes: 85 0.027570548167369445 No: 1988 0.6448264677262406 Too Tolerant Of Neoreaction.: Yes: 126 0.04086928316574765 No: 1947 0.6315277327278624 Too Tolerant Of Progressivism.: Yes: 30 0.009730781706130393 No: 2043 0.6626662341874797 Literally A Cult. : Yes: 121 0.039247486214725916 No: 1952 0.6331495296788842 I Wasn't Around For Its Peak. : Yes: 844 0.2737593253324684 No: 1229 0.39863769056114173 [Write in below]: Yes: 199 0.06454751865066494 No: 1874 0.6078494972429452 [Write in below]: Yes: 30 0.009730781706130393 No: 2043 0.6626662341874797 Write in one:: Write in two:: What are the biggest problems with LessWrong now? Philosophical Issues: Over Reliance On The Sequences.: Yes: 316 0.10249756730457346 No: 1727 0.5601686668829062 Focus On AI.: Yes: 247 0.08011676938047356 No: 1796 0.5825494648070062 Focus On Cryonics.: Yes: 184 0.05968212779759974 No: 1859 0.60298410638988 Criticism Of The Scientific Method.: Yes: 73 0.02367823548491729 No: 1970 0.6389879987025624 Too Much Jargon.: Yes: 430 0.13947453778786895 No: 1613 0.5231916963996107 Too Focused On Abstract Junk.: Yes: 259 0.08400908206292572 No: 1784 0.578657152124554 [Write in below]: Yes: 186 0.06033084657800843 No: 1857 0.6023353876094713 [Write in below]: Yes: 31 0.010055141096334739 No: 2012 0.652611093091145 Write in one:: Write in two:: Community Issues: No New Content: Yes: 417 0.13525786571521245 No: 1626 0.5274083684722672 No New *Good* Content: Yes: 812 0.2633798248459293 No: 1231 0.39928640934155046 Can't Find Things Quickly Enough To Maintain Interest: Yes: 269 0.08725267596496919 No: 1774 0.5754135582225105 Lame Forum Software: Yes: 251 0.08141420694129095 No: 1792 0.5812520272461887 Decline from new people coming in who don't understand the culture: Yes: 217 0.07038598767434318 No: 1826 0.5922802465131366 Decline from evaporative cooling (http://lesswrong.com/lw/lr/evaporative_cooling_of_group_beliefs/): Yes: 288 0.09341550437885177 No: 1755 0.569250729808628 Decline from dunning kruger where competent refrain from posting what they feel to be sub par content (and by extension, posting content at all) but incompetent don't : Yes: 386 0.12520272461887771 No: 1657 0.537463509568602 Not Enough In Person Interaction: Yes: 127 0.041193642555951995 No: 1916 0.6214725916315277 Overly High Standards For Content Submission: Yes: 124 0.040220564385338956 No: 1919 0.6224456698021408 Failure to cite sources: Yes: 87 0.028219266947778137 No: 1956 0.6344469672397016 Too Autistic: Yes: 108 0.03503081414206941 No: 1935 0.6276354200454103 Too Tolerant Of Trolls/Cranks: Yes: 138 0.0447615958481998 No: 1905 0.6179046383392799 Too Tolerant Of Laziness: Yes: 66 0.021407719753486862 No: 1977 0.6412585144339928 Too Tolerant Of Creepy People: Yes: 70 0.02270515731430425 No: 1973 0.6399610768731755 Too Tolerant Of Neoreaction: Yes: 113 0.03665261109309115 No: 1930 0.6260136230943886 Too Tolerant Of Progressivism: Yes: 47 0.015244891339604282 No: 1996 0.6474213428478754 Literally A Cult : Yes: 88 0.028543626337982485 No: 1955 0.6341226078494973 [Write in below]: Yes: 190 0.06162828413882582 No: 1853 0.6010379500486539 [Write in below]: Yes: 38 0.012325656827765165 No: 2005 0.6503405773597145 Write in one:: Write in two:: What would you want from a successor? Philosophically: Attention Paid To Outside Sources: More: 1047 0.709349593495935 Same: 416 0.28184281842818426 Less: 13 0.008807588075880758 Self Improvement Focus: More: 757 0.5066934404283802 Same: 602 0.4029451137884873 Less: 135 0.09036144578313253 AI Focus: More: 186 0.12687585266030013 Same: 822 0.5607094133697135 Less: 458 0.31241473396998637 Political: More: 332 0.22865013774104684 Same: 773 0.5323691460055097 Less: 347 0.23898071625344353 Academic/Formal: More: 457 0.3191340782122905 Same: 806 0.5628491620111732 Less: 169 0.1180167597765363 [Write in your own]: More: 146 0.6666666666666666 Same: 44 0.2009132420091324 Less: 29 0.1324200913242009 [Write in your own]: More: 40 0.5194805194805194 Same: 20 0.2597402597402597 Less: 17 0.22077922077922077 [Write in your own]: More: 24 0.5853658536585366 Same: 9 0.21951219512195122 Less: 8 0.1951219512195122 Write in one:: Write in two:: Write in three:: Community: Intense Environment: More: 255 0.19645608628659475 Same: 833 0.6417565485362096 Less: 210 0.1617873651771957 Focused On 'Real World' Action: More: 741 0.5373459028281363 Same: 567 0.41116751269035534 Less: 71 0.05148658448150834 Experts: More: 750 0.5547337278106509 Same: 579 0.4282544378698225 Less: 23 0.017011834319526627 Data Driven/Testing Of Ideas: More: 1110 0.7827926657263752 Same: 293 0.2066290550070522 Less: 15 0.010578279266572637 Social: More: 584 0.4342007434944238 Same: 686 0.5100371747211896 Less: 75 0.055762081784386616 [Write in your own]: More: 68 0.7010309278350515 Same: 9 0.09278350515463918 Less: 20 0.20618556701030927 [Write in your own]: More: 20 0.5714285714285714 Same: 10 0.2857142857142857 Less: 5 0.14285714285714285 [Write in your own]: More: 11 0.6875 Same: 4 0.25 Less: 1 0.0625 Write in one:: Write in two:: Write in three:: Where do you hang out now? I'm Currently An Active Member Of: LessWrong: Yes: 354 0.11482322413233863 No: 1604 0.5202724618877717 LessWrong Meetups: Yes: 216 0.07006162828413882 No: 1742 0.5650340577359715 LessWrong Facebook Group: Yes: 172 0.055789815115147585 No: 1786 0.5793058709049627 LessWrong Slack: Yes: 56 0.018164125851443398 No: 1902 0.6169315601686669 SlateStarCodex: Yes: 837 0.27148880960103794 No: 1121 0.36360687641907236 Rationalist Tumblr: Yes: 352 0.11417450535192994 No: 1606 0.5209211806681804 Rationalist Facebook: Yes: 151 0.04897826792085631 No: 1807 0.586117418099254 Rationalist Twitter: Yes: 60 0.019461563412260786 No: 1898 0.6156341226078494 Effective Altruism Hub: Yes: 99 0.03211157963023029 No: 1859 0.60298410638988 FortForecast: Yes: 5 0.001621796951021732 No: 1953 0.6334738890690885 Good Judgement(TM) Open: Yes: 31 0.010055141096334739 No: 1927 0.6250405449237756 PredictionBook: Yes: 60 0.019461563412260786 No: 1898 0.6156341226078494 Omnilibrium: Yes: 9 0.0029192345118391177 No: 1949 0.6321764515082712 Hacker News: Yes: 253 0.08206292572169964 No: 1705 0.5530327602984106 #lesswrong on freenode : Yes: 77 0.024975673045734673 No: 1881 0.6101200129743756 #slatestarcodex on freenode: Yes: 37 0.012001297437560817 No: 1921 0.6230943885825495 #hplusroadmap on freenode: Yes: 5 0.001621796951021732 No: 1953 0.6334738890690885 #chapelperilous on freenode: Yes: 11 0.0035679532922478106 No: 1947 0.6315277327278624 /r/rational: Yes: 275 0.08919883230619527 No: 1683 0.545896853713915 /r/HPMOR: Yes: 232 0.07525137852740837 No: 1726 0.5598443074927019 /r/SlateStarCodex: Yes: 245 0.07946805060006487 No: 1713 0.5556276354200455 One or more private 'rationalist' groups : Yes: 193 0.06260136230943886 No: 1765 0.5724943237106714 Other: Yes: 0 0.0 No: 0 0.0 Would you consider rejoining LessWrong?: I never left: 671 0.406 Yes: 557 0.337 Yes, but only under certain conditions: 206 0.125 No: 218 0.132 If you would only rejoin under certain conditions, what would those be?: Interests And Media Do You Read These Blogs: LessWrong: Regular Reader: 239 0.13472378804960541 Sometimes: 642 0.36189402480270577 Rarely: 537 0.30270574971815106 Almost Never: 272 0.15332581736189402 Never: 70 0.03945885005636979 Never Heard Of It: 14 0.007891770011273957 SlateStarCodex (Scott Alexander): Regular Reader: 1137 0.6373318385650224 Sometimes: 264 0.14798206278026907 Rarely: 90 0.05044843049327354 Almost Never: 61 0.034192825112107625 Never: 51 0.02858744394618834 Never Heard Of It: 181 0.10145739910313901 Overcoming Bias (Robin Hanson): Regular Reader: 207 0.11768050028425242 Sometimes: 365 0.20750426378624218 Rarely: 391 0.2222853894258101 Almost Never: 387 0.22001137009664581 Never: 240 0.13644115974985788 Never Heard Of It: 169 0.09607731665719159 Minding Our Way (Nate Soares): Regular Reader: 154 0.08860759493670886 Sometimes: 134 0.07710011507479862 Rarely: 139 0.07997698504027619 Almost Never: 175 0.10069044879171461 Never: 214 0.12313003452243959 Never Heard Of It: 922 0.5304948216340621 Agenty Duck (Brienne Yudkowsky): Regular Reader: 57 0.032853025936599424 Sometimes: 132 0.0760806916426513 Rarely: 144 0.0829971181556196 Almost Never: 213 0.12276657060518732 Never: 254 0.14639769452449566 Never Heard Of It: 935 0.5389048991354467 Eliezer Yudkowsky's Facebook Page: Regular Reader: 326 0.18554354012521343 Sometimes: 316 0.1798520204894707 Rarely: 231 0.13147410358565736 Almost Never: 268 0.1525327262379055 Never: 362 0.2060330108138873 Never Heard Of It: 254 0.14456459874786567 Luke Muehlhauser (Eponymous): Regular Reader: 60 0.034722222222222224 Sometimes: 107 0.061921296296296294 Rarely: 179 0.10358796296296297 Almost Never: 231 0.13368055555555555 Never: 312 0.18055555555555555 Never Heard Of It: 839 0.4855324074074074 Gwern.net (Gwern Branwen): Regular Reader: 118 0.06758304696449026 Sometimes: 282 0.16151202749140894 Rarely: 293 0.16781214203894615 Almost Never: 224 0.12829324169530354 Never: 230 0.13172966781214204 Never Heard Of It: 599 0.34306987399770905 Siderea (Sibylla Bostoniensis): Regular Reader: 31 0.017919075144508672 Sometimes: 49 0.028323699421965318 Rarely: 59 0.03410404624277456 Almost Never: 104 0.06011560693641618 Never: 183 0.10578034682080925 Never Heard Of It: 1304 0.753757225433526 BlogsRead2: Ribbon Farm (Venkatesh Rao): Regular Reader: 65 0.0377906976744186 Sometimes: 123 0.07151162790697674 Rarely: 111 0.06453488372093023 Almost Never: 151 0.0877906976744186 Never: 150 0.0872093023255814 Never Heard Of It: 1120 0.6511627906976745 Bayesed And Confused (Michael Rupert): Regular Reader: 2 0.0011689070718877848 Sometimes: 10 0.0058445353594389245 Rarely: 24 0.014026884862653419 Almost Never: 68 0.03974284044418469 Never: 167 0.09760374050263004 Never Heard Of It: 1440 0.8416130917592052 The Unit Of Caring (Anonymous): Regular Reader: 284 0.16569428238039674 Sometimes: 132 0.07701283547257877 Rarely: 127 0.07409568261376896 Almost Never: 179 0.1044340723453909 Never: 216 0.12602100350058343 Never Heard Of It: 776 0.45274212368728123 GiveWell Blog (Multiple Authors): Regular Reader: 76 0.04481132075471698 Sometimes: 197 0.11615566037735849 Rarely: 244 0.14386792452830188 Almost Never: 281 0.16568396226415094 Never: 414 0.24410377358490565 Never Heard Of It: 483 0.2847877358490566 Thing Of Things (Ozy Frantz): Regular Reader: 367 0.21324811156304474 Sometimes: 201 0.1167925624636839 Rarely: 143 0.0830912260313771 Almost Never: 172 0.0999418942475305 Never: 177 0.10284718187100524 Never Heard Of It: 661 0.3840790238233585 The Last Psychiatrist (Anonymous): Regular Reader: 103 0.060023310023310024 Sometimes: 94 0.054778554778554776 Rarely: 167 0.09731934731934731 Almost Never: 222 0.12937062937062938 Never: 302 0.175990675990676 Never Heard Of It: 828 0.4825174825174825 Hotel Concierge (Anonymous): Regular Reader: 31 0.018224573780129337 Sometimes: 36 0.021164021164021163 Rarely: 49 0.02880658436213992 Almost Never: 88 0.05173427395649618 Never: 179 0.10523221634332745 Never Heard Of It: 1318 0.7748383303938859 The View From Hell (Sister Y): Regular Reader: 35 0.020491803278688523 Sometimes: 39 0.022833723653395786 Rarely: 76 0.04449648711943794 Almost Never: 137 0.08021077283372366 Never: 250 0.14637002341920374 Never Heard Of It: 1171 0.6855971896955504 Xenosystems (Nick Land): Regular Reader: 53 0.031194820482636845 Sometimes: 32 0.01883460859329017 Rarely: 64 0.03766921718658034 Almost Never: 175 0.10300176574455562 Never: 366 0.21542083578575633 Never Heard Of It: 1009 0.5938787522071807 Are there any noteworthy blogs you read that we missed above?: Have You Read These Stories?: Harry Potter And The Methods Of Rationality (Eliezer Yudkowsky): Whole Thing: 1105 0.6183547845551203 Partially And Intend To Finish: 146 0.0817011751538892 Partially And Abandoned: 231 0.12926692781197538 Never: 223 0.12479015109121433 Never Heard Of It: 82 0.04588696138780078 Significant Digits (Alexander D): Whole Thing: 123 0.07089337175792507 Partially And Intend To Finish: 105 0.06051873198847262 Partially And Abandoned: 91 0.05244956772334294 Never: 333 0.19193083573487033 Never Heard Of It: 1083 0.624207492795389 Three Worlds Collide (Eliezer Yudkowsky): Whole Thing: 891 0.5117748420448018 Partially And Intend To Finish: 35 0.020103388856978748 Partially And Abandoned: 36 0.02067777139574957 Never: 287 0.16484778862722574 Never Heard Of It: 492 0.28259620907524413 The Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant (Nick Bostrom): Whole Thing: 729 0.4184845005740528 Partially And Intend To Finish: 31 0.017795637198622274 Partially And Abandoned: 15 0.008610792192881744 Never: 205 0.11768082663605052 Never Heard Of It: 762 0.43742824339839265 The World of Null-A (A. E. van Vogt): Whole Thing: 93 0.05378831694621168 Partially And Intend To Finish: 18 0.010410641989589358 Partially And Abandoned: 25 0.014459224985540775 Never: 430 0.24869866975130134 Never Heard Of It: 1163 0.6726431463273569 Synthesis (Sharon Mitchell): Whole Thing: 7 0.004098360655737705 Partially And Intend To Finish: 2 0.00117096018735363 Partially And Abandoned: 8 0.00468384074941452 Never: 217 0.12704918032786885 Never Heard Of It: 1474 0.8629976580796253 Worm (Wildbow): Whole Thing: 502 0.28800917957544464 Partially And Intend To Finish: 168 0.0963855421686747 Partially And Abandoned: 185 0.10613884107860011 Never: 431 0.2472748135398738 Never Heard Of It: 457 0.2621916236374068 Pact (Wildbow): Whole Thing: 138 0.07963069821119446 Partially And Intend To Finish: 59 0.034045008655510675 Partially And Abandoned: 148 0.08540103866128101 Never: 501 0.2890940565493364 Never Heard Of It: 887 0.5118291979226774 Twig (Wildbow): Whole Thing: 55 0.031810294968189705 Partially And Intend To Finish: 132 0.07634470792365529 Partially And Abandoned: 66 0.038172353961827644 Never: 560 0.32388663967611336 Never Heard Of It: 916 0.529786003470214 StoriesRead2: Ra (Sam Hughes): Whole Thing: 269 0.15504322766570605 Partially And Intend To Finish: 81 0.04668587896253602 Partially And Abandoned: 95 0.05475504322766571 Never: 314 0.1809798270893372 Never Heard Of It: 976 0.562536023054755 My Little Pony: Friendship Is Optimal (Iceman): Whole Thing: 424 0.24409902130109384 Partially And Intend To Finish: 17 0.00978698906160046 Partially And Abandoned: 65 0.03742084052964882 Never: 559 0.32181922855497985 Never Heard Of It: 672 0.38687392055267705 Friendship Is Optimal: Caelum Est Conterrens (Chatoyance): Whole Thing: 217 0.1266044340723454 Partially And Intend To Finish: 17 0.009918319719953326 Partially And Abandoned: 24 0.014002333722287048 Never: 411 0.2397899649941657 Never Heard Of It: 1045 0.6096849474912486 Ender's Game (Orson Scott Card): Whole Thing: 1182 0.6723549488054608 Partially And Intend To Finish: 23 0.013083048919226393 Partially And Abandoned: 43 0.024459613196814563 Never: 395 0.22468714448236632 Never Heard Of It: 115 0.06541524459613197 The Diamond Age (Neal Stephenson): Whole Thing: 443 0.25430539609644087 Partially And Intend To Finish: 37 0.02123995407577497 Partially And Abandoned: 56 0.03214695752009185 Never: 577 0.3312284730195178 Never Heard Of It: 629 0.3610792192881745 Consider Phlebas (Iain Banks): Whole Thing: 304 0.17572254335260115 Partially And Intend To Finish: 52 0.03005780346820809 Partially And Abandoned: 47 0.02716763005780347 Never: 441 0.2549132947976879 Never Heard Of It: 886 0.5121387283236994 The Metamorphosis Of Prime Intellect (Roger Williams): Whole Thing: 226 0.13185530921820304 Partially And Intend To Finish: 11 0.006417736289381563 Partially And Abandoned: 24 0.014002333722287048 Never: 322 0.18786464410735124 Never Heard Of It: 1131 0.6598599766627772 Accelerando (Charles Stross): Whole Thing: 294 0.17043478260869566 Partially And Intend To Finish: 46 0.02666666666666667 Partially And Abandoned: 66 0.03826086956521739 Never: 427 0.24753623188405796 Never Heard Of It: 892 0.5171014492753623 A Fire Upon The Deep (Vernor Vinge): Whole Thing: 348 0.1997703788748565 Partially And Intend To Finish: 31 0.017795637198622274 Partially And Abandoned: 41 0.023536165327210104 Never: 509 0.29219288174512054 Never Heard Of It: 813 0.46670493685419057 Machine Intelligence Research Institute Do you know what the Machine Intelligence Research Institute is?: Yes: 1547 0.852 No but I've heard of it: 175 0.096 No: 93 0.051 Have you ever read a paper from the Machine Intelligence Research Institute?: Yes: 467 0.258 Partially: 500 0.276 No: 846 0.467 Would you consider working for the Machine Intelligence Research Institute?: Yes: 974 0.547 No: 805 0.453 Do you think you're trustworthy enough not to let an AI out of the box?: Yes: 474 0.275 No: 1248 0.725 Have you ever practiced not letting an AI out of the box?: Yes with Eliezer's Ruleset: 20 0.011 Yes with Tuxedage's Ruleset: 6 0.003 Yes with a different ruleset: 19 0.011 No but I've been the AI: 40 0.023 No: 1692 0.952 On a scale of one to five (where one is "Strongly disagree" and five is "Strongly agree"), rate how much you agree with this statement: "MIRI's mission of  doing mathematical research relevant to friendly self-improving  artificial intelligence is very important.": On a scale of one to five (where one is "Strongly disagree" and five is "Strongly agree"), rate how much you agree with this statement: "Whether or not I  agree with MIRI's goals, I believe MIRI is a well-run organization that  pursues its goals effectively.": Center For Applied Rationality (Bonus Section) Do you know what the Center For Applied Rationality is?: Yes: 1289 0.734 No but I've heard of it: 288 0.164 No: 178 0.101 Have you attended CFAR?: No, and I don't plan to: 852 0.501 No, and I would like to: 733 0.431 I have attended a paid or volunteer program with CFAR: 109 0.064 I have led a program at CFAR: 8 0.005 Think about your current set of skills, your habits, the things you spend your time on, how you interact with other people, the intellectual questions that you find engaging, the goals you’re aiming towards, and the challenges that you’re currently facing going forward. Next, think about how you were one year ago on each of these dimensions. How different are you now from how you were one year ago?: Not at all different: 107 0.062 Slightly different: 567 0.327 Somewhat different: 677 0.391 Very different: 316 0.182 Extremely different : 0 0.0 (optional) In about one sentence, what is one difference that stands out as being particularly large or significant?: (Optional) Can you think of any changes that you’ve made in the past month to your daily routines or habits in order to make things go better? These can be tiny changes (e.g., adjusted the curtains on my bedroom window so that less light comes in while I’m sleeping) or large ones. Spend about 60 seconds recalling as many examples of these kinds of changes as you can and listing them here. (If you want to skip this question, leave it blank. If you spend the 60 seconds and no specific examples come to mind, write "none."):

What's your overall opinion of the Center For Applied Rationality?

: Positive: 377 0.225 Mostly Positive: 414 0.248 No strong opinion: 802 0.48 Mostly Negative: 63 0.038 Negative: 16 0.01 Effective Altruism (Bonus Section) Do you know what Effective Altruism is?: Yes: 1567 0.892 No but I've heard of it: 115 0.065 No: 74 0.042 Do you self-identify as an Effective Altruist?: Yes: 667 0.392 No: 1034 0.608 Do you participate in the Effective Altruism community?: Yes: 315 0.184 No: 1395 0.816 Has Effective Altruism caused you to make donations you otherwise wouldn't?: Yes: 667 0.392 No: 1035 0.608 Have you ever had any kind of moral anxiety over Effective Altruism?: Yes: 504 0.297 Yes but only because I worry about everything: 184 0.108 No: 1011 0.595 What's your overall opinion of Effective Altruism?: Positive: 813 0.476 Mostly Positive: 536 0.314 No strong opinion: 258 0.151 Mostly Negative: 76 0.045 Negative: 24 0.014 Politics (Bonus Section) With which of these political positions do you most identify?: Progressive: 217 0.142 Communist: 13 0.009 Socialist: 126 0.083 Conservative: 38 0.025 Fascist: 5 0.003 Neoreactionary: 28 0.018 Social Democrat: 237 0.155 Moderate: 67 0.044 Pragmatist: 131 0.086 Anarchist: 50 0.033 Libertarian: 190 0.124 Left-Libertarian: 245 0.16 Objectivist: 10 0.007 Monarchist: 5 0.003 Futarchist: 31 0.02 Totalitarian: 2 0.001 Other: 126 0.0825147347740668 Did you vote in your country's last major national election?: Yes: 1155 0.689 No: 513 0.306 My country does not hold elections: 8 0.005 If you are an American, what party are you registered with?: Democratic Party: 362 0.246 Republican Party: 72 0.049 Libertarian Party: 26 0.018 Other third party: 16 0.011 Not registered for a party: 452 0.307 (option for non-Americans who want an option): 542 0.369 On a scale from 1  (not interested at all) to 5 (extremely interested), how would you  describe your level of interest in politics?: How would you describe your opinion on abortion laws?: Abortion: Pro-Life: 104 0.06114050558495003 Lean Pro-Life: 97 0.05702527924750147 No strong opinion: 77 0.04526748971193416 Lean Pro-Choice: 265 0.1557907113462669 Pro-Choice: 1158 0.6807760141093474 How would you describe your opinion on immigration?: Immigration: Should be more open: 671 0.3970414201183432 Lean more open: 508 0.3005917159763314 No strong opinion: 264 0.15621301775147928 Lean more restricted: 140 0.08284023668639054 Should be more restricted: 107 0.06331360946745562 How would you describe your opinion on taxes in your country?: Taxes: Should be lower: 225 0.13321492007104796 Lean towards lower: 237 0.14031971580817051 No strong opinion: 546 0.32326820603907636 Lean towards higher: 417 0.2468916518650089 Should be higher: 264 0.15630550621669628 How would you describe your opinion on minimum wage laws in your country?: Minimum Wage: Should be lower or eliminated: 288 0.17142857142857143 Lean towards lower or eliminated: 202 0.12023809523809524 No strong opinion: 510 0.30357142857142855 Lean towards higher: 385 0.22916666666666666 Should be higher: 295 0.17559523809523808 How would you describe your opinion of feminism, as you understand the term? See also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feminism for more information: Feminism: Very unfavorable: 151 0.08977407847800238 Unfavorable: 250 0.14863258026159334 No strong opinion: 252 0.14982164090368608 Favorable: 612 0.3638525564803805 Very favorable: 417 0.2479191438763377 How would you describe your opinion of social justice, as you understand the term? See also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_justice for more information: Social Justice: Very unfavorable: 341 0.2037037037037037 Unfavorable: 372 0.2222222222222222 No strong opinion: 290 0.17323775388291518 Favorable: 462 0.27598566308243727 Very favorable: 209 0.12485065710872162 How would you  describe your opinion of the idea of "human biodiversity", as you  understand the term? No Wiki page available, but essentially it is the  belief that there are important genetic differences between human  populations and that therefore ideas generally considered racist, such  as different races having different average intelligence or personality  traits, are in fact scientifically justified: Human Biodiversity: Very unfavorable: 231 0.1391566265060241 Unfavorable: 384 0.23132530120481928 No strong opinion: 517 0.31144578313253013 Favorable: 399 0.24036144578313254 Very favorable: 129 0.07771084337349397 How would you describe your opinion of a Basic Income Guarantee in your country? See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_Income_Guarantee for more information.: Basic Income: Strongly oppose: 64 0.03804994054696789 Oppose: 110 0.06539833531510107 No strong opinion: 261 0.15517241379310345 Support: 626 0.37217598097502974 Strongly support: 621 0.3692033293697979 Do you believe we  are currently in or entering a "Great Stagnation", as proposed by Tyler  Cowen and Peter Thiel, during which technological growth slows  drastically? See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Stagnation for more information: Great Stagnation: Strongly doubt: 270 0.1638349514563107 Doubt: 637 0.38652912621359226 No strong opinion: 555 0.33677184466019416 Believe: 157 0.09526699029126214 Strongly believe: 29 0.017597087378640776 Calibration Questions Do you understand the instructions above?: Yes, I understand I should answer in percentages between 0 and 100: 1646 0.975 No, I don't read instructions and am going to ruin the survey results for everyone: 43 0.025 CalibrationQuestions: Probabilities ProbabilityQuestions: : Please give the obvious answer to this question, so I can automatically throw away all surveys that don't follow the rules: What is the probability of a fair coin coming up heads? : Sum: 80213.9989998995 Mean: 49.82235962726677 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 What is the probability that the Many Worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics is more or less correct?: Sum: 57876.2765532333 Mean: 44.588810903877736 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 What is the probability that non-human, non-Earthly intelligent life exists in the observable universe?: Sum: 109378.29058157398 Mean: 75.74673862989889 Median: 90.0 Mode: 99.0 ...in the Milky Way galaxy?: Sum: 64163.32026926869 Mean: 46.66423292310451 Median: 50.0 Mode: 10.0 What is the probability that supernatural events (including God, ghosts, magic, etc) have occurred since the beginning of the universe?: Sum: 12624.714712170931 Mean: 13.574962056097743 Median: 1.0 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that there is a god, defined as a supernatural intelligent entity who created the universe?: Sum: 15535.557953131427 Mean: 15.458266620031244 Median: 1.0 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that any of humankind's revealed religions is more or less correct?: Sum: 8578.60633673673 Mean: 10.603963333419902 Median: 0.5 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that an average person cryonically frozen today will be successfully restored to life at some future time, conditional on no global catastrophe destroying civilization before then?: Sum: 29494.64525290689 Mean: 21.24974441852082 Median: 10.0 Mode: 5.0 What is the probability that at least one person living at this moment will reach an age of one thousand years, conditional on no global catastrophe destroying civilization in that time?: Sum: 34398.58545244187 Mean: 25.25593645553737 Median: 10.0 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that our universe is a simulation?: Sum: 30459.535304433874 Mean: 25.235737617592296 Median: 10.0 Mode: 50.0 What is the probability that significant global warming is occurring or will soon occur, and is primarily caused by human actions?: Sum: 122103.09299969983 Mean: 83.34682116020471 Median: 90.0 Mode: 90.0 What is the probability that the human race will make it to 2100 without any catastrophe that wipes out more than 90% of humanity?: Sum: 111393.97345414276 Mean: 76.29724209187863 Median: 80.0 Mode: 80.0 Futurology Cryonics (Section Header): Are you signed up for cryonics?: Yes - signed up or just finishing up paperwork: 48 0.029 No - would like to sign up but unavailable in my area: 104 0.063 No - would like to sign up but haven't gotten around to it: 181 0.109 No - would like to sign up but can't afford it: 230 0.139 No - still considering it: 557 0.336 No - and do not want to sign up for cryonics: 472 0.284 Never thought about it / don't understand: 68 0.041 Do you think cryonics, as currently practiced by Alcor/Cryonics Institute will work?: Yes: 106 0.065 Maybe: 1043 0.643 No: 473 0.292 Do you think cryonics works in principle?: Yes: 804 0.492 Maybe: 703 0.43 No: 127 0.078 Singularity (Section Header): By what year do you think the Singularity will occur? Answer such that you think, conditional on the Singularity occurring, there is an even chance of the Singularity falling before or after this year. If you think a  singularity is so unlikely you don't even want to condition on it, leave this question blank.: Sum: 1.0000000000590109e+20 Mean: 8.090614887208986e+16 Median: 2080.0 Mode: 2100.0 Have you ever made any kind of personal health change with the goal of living to see the singularity? (If multiple please separate with commas.): Superbabies (Section Header): Would you ever consider having your child genetically modified for any reason?: Yes: 1557 0.959 No: 67 0.041 Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified to prevent them from getting an inheritable disease?: Yes: 1391 0.854 Depends on the disease: 209 0.128 No: 28 0.017 Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified for improvement purposes? (eg. To heighten their intelligence or reduce their risk of schizophrenia.): Yes : 0 0.0 Maybe a little: 177 0.109 Depends on the strength of the improvements: 264 0.162 No: 84 0.052 Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified for cosmetic reasons? (eg. To make them taller or have a certain eye color.): Yes: 500 0.309 Maybe a little: 382 0.236 Depends on the strength of the improvements: 280 0.173 No: 457 0.282 What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for disease prevention purposes?: Positive: 1181 0.717 Mostly Positive: 312 0.189 No strong opinion: 112 0.068 Mostly Negative: 29 0.018 Negative: 13 0.008 What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for improvement purposes?: Positive: 740 0.449 Mostly Positive: 483 0.293 No strong opinion: 273 0.166 Mostly Negative: 112 0.068 Negative: 39 0.024 What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for cosmetic reasons?: Positive: 292 0.177 Mostly Positive: 292 0.177 No strong opinion: 576 0.35 Mostly Negative: 331 0.201 Negative: 157 0.095 Technological Unemployment (Futurology Part 2) Do you think the Luddite's Fallacy is an actual fallacy?: Yes: 444 0.309 No: 995 0.691 By what year do you think the majority of people in your country will have trouble finding employment for automation related reasons? If you think this is something that will never happen leave this question blank.: Sum: 2216340.0 Mean: 2102.789373814042 Median: 2050.0 Mode: 2050.0 Do you think the "end of work" would be a good thing?: Yes: 1243 0.813 No: 286 0.187 If machines end all or almost all employment, what are your biggest worries? Pick two.: People will just idle about in destructive ways: Yes: 515 0.1670450859552384 No: 1184 0.38404151800194614 People need work to be fulfilled and if we eliminate work we'll all feel deep existential angst: Yes: 544 0.17645150827116446 No: 1155 0.3746350956860201 The rich are going to take all the resources for themselves and leave the rest of us to starve or live in poverty: Yes: 1070 0.3470645475186507 No: 629 0.20402205643853388 The machines won't need us, and we'll starve to death or be otherwise liquidated: Yes: 416 0.1349335063250081 No: 1283 0.41615309763217645 Other: Yes: 0 0.0 No: 0 0.0 The next question isn't exactly related to technological unemployment, but making a part three for one question seemed impractical.: Which disaster do you think is most likely to wipe out greater than 90% of humanity before the year 2100?: Nuclear war: 327 0.206 Asteroid strike: 64 0.04 Unfriendly AI: 272 0.172 Nanotech / grey goo: 18 0.011 Pandemic (natural): 121 0.076 Pandemic (bioengineered): 356 0.225 Environmental collapse (including global warming): 254 0.16 Economic / political collapse: 136 0.086 Other: 35 0.022082018927444796 Charity (Bonus Section) What is your approximate annual income in US dollars (non-Americans: convert at www.xe.com)? Obviously you don't need to answer this question if you don't want to. Please don't include commas or dollar signs.: Sum: 66114964.47384 Mean: 64439.536524210525 Median: 40000.0 Mode: 30000.0 How much money, in number of dollars, have you donated to charity over the past year? (non-Americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/ ). Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. For example, 4000: Sum: 2392840.6530000004 Mean: 2907.4613037667073 Median: 356.0 Mode: 100.0 How much money have you donated to charities aiming to reduce existential risk (other than MIRI/CFAR) in the past year?: Sum: 169700.89 Mean: 1973.2661627906978 Median: 200.0 Mode: 100.0 How much have you donated in US dollars to the following charities in the past year? (Non-americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/) Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. Options starting with "any" aren't the name of a charity but a category of charity.: How much have you donated in US dollars to the following charities in the past year? (Non-americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/) Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. Options starting with "any" aren't the name of a charity but a category of charity.: Against Malaria Foundation: Sum: 483935.027 Mean: 1905.2560118110237 Median: 300.0 Mode: All values found equally likely. Schistosomiasis Control Initiative: Sum: 47908.0 Mean: 840.4912280701755 Median: 200.0 Mode: 1000.0 Deworm the World Initiative : Sum: 28820.0 Mean: 565.0980392156863 Median: 150.0 Mode: 500.0 GiveDirectly: Sum: 154410.177 Mean: 1429.723861111111 Median: 450.0 Mode: 50.0 Any kind of animal rights charity: Sum: 83130.47 Mean: 1093.8219736842104 Median: 154.235 Mode: 500.0 Any kind of bug rights charity: Sum: 1083.0 Mean: 270.75 Median: 157.5 Mode: All values found equally likely. Machine Intelligence Research Institute: Sum: 141792.5 Mean: 1417.925 Median: 100.0 Mode: 100.0 Any charity combating nuclear existential risk: Sum: 491.0 Mean: 81.83333333333333 Median: 75.0 Mode: 100.0 Any charity combating global warming: Sum: 13412.0 Mean: 248.37037037037038 Median: 100.0 Mode: 10.0 Center For Applied Rationality: Sum: 127101.0 Mean: 3177.525 Median: 150.0 Mode: 100.0 Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence Research Foundation: Sum: 9429.0 Mean: 554.6470588235294 Median: 100.0 Mode: 20.0 Wikipedia: Sum: 12965.5 Mean: 53.79875518672199 Median: 20.0 Mode: 10.0 Internet Archive: Sum: 2975.04 Mean: 80.40648648648649 Median: 30.0 Mode: 50.0 Any campaign for political office: Sum: 39333.99 Mean: 364.2036111111111 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 Other: Sum: 566590.46 Mean: 1656.6972514619881 Median: 200.0 Mode: 100.0 Do you follow any dietary restrictions related to animal products?: Yes, I am vegan: 55 0.035 Yes, I am vegetarian: 158 0.099 Yes, I restrict meat some other way (pescetarian, flexitarian, try to only eat ethically sourced meat): 377 0.237 No: 999 0.629 Wrapping Up Have you taken a previous LessWrong Survey?: Yes: 772 0.469 No: 874 0.531 Would you like to be put on a mailing list to hear about future developments in revitalizing LessWrong or new 'rationalist' communities? If yes put in your email address below. (This is optional and will not be published in the public survey results.):