John David Pressman's Tweets - December 2020

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-01 03:33 UTC

@pee_zombie The question is what's the minimal representation you can predict/regenerate the rest from. Seems plausible that the brain is enough to infer muscle memories/etc.

(Also, since when is 'muscle memory' stored in the muscles?)

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-01 05:40 UTC

Normies like @gwern have delusional stalkers who might murder them for the Satoshi coin, mine will kill me because they think my sha256 hashes can destroy the universe.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-01 05:54 UTC

x.com/jd_pressman/st…

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-02 22:59 UTC

When sensors are cheap, attention is expensive.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-03 02:43 UTC

Therefore if you want to discuss anything that isn't tittle tattle you have to coordinate something totally outside the social-media-woke-yellow-journalism-Trump-MAGA-panopticon. Everyone forgets that Substack only exists because people are anxious about funding sources.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-03 03:34 UTC

@AClockwork_Crow We need a Trump-COVID Twitter swear jar. If each tweet about those topics cost 50 cents people wouldn't make them as often.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 04:58 UTC

"Someone who groks the situation we're in is rarely risk averse, usually extremely risk hungry compared to most people. In that sense rationality is a philosophy of desperation."

Always being in the reflective mode is a tacit acknowledgement that the universe is broken. x.com/nosilverv/stat… https://t.co/nB3M80ifgI

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 04:58 UTC

"Chad" is a trap for people who are used to video game skill curves, a centrally designed benevolent universe that is rooting for your success, i.e. not our universe.

The truth is that whole-life flow states are hyper-exploited lives of mediocrity.

That road is closed to you.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 04:58 UTC

The thing about the whole incel memeplex is that incels don't want to bang Stacy, they want to be "Chad". Chad's defining trait isn't his sexual power but his implacable masculine aptitude; Chad gets everything he wants without really trying.

youtube.com/watch?v=fD2bri…

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 04:58 UTC

"Trauma" is a word that's often pulled out to gaslight you about the world's brokenness, that it's your fault for noticing rather than something you should be trying to fix.

We live in an incentive hell where flow states are dangerous vulnerabilities.

x.com/Plinz/status/1…

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 08:24 UTC

"Rationalists are starting to see that the naive dualism that many arguments are premised on - the mind a sort of all-knowing puppeteer pulling the strings of a rigid body from behind the eyes - is BS. "

Obligatory reminder that Korzybski felt this was a key abrahamic fallacy. x.com/Meaningness/st…

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 08:33 UTC

Too much attention is paid to the Feynman ancestry of EY's rationality and not enough to the General Semantics part. Even less attention is paid to the hard scifi cosmology because I'm pretty sure most of his readers don't understand it (EY didn't exactly explain very well).

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 08:33 UTC

Regis's Great Mambo Chicken is a good pop science book for anyone who wants to get where EY is actually coming from.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 08:38 UTC

In fact Great Mambo Chicken is shocking in how obvious and straightforward it makes EY's overall cosmology. I imagine after he read it he immediately started looking at the Feynman lectures (if he hadn't already) and Drexler's Engines of Creation. It makes becoming EY obvious. x.com/jd_pressman/st… https://t.co/HtgPYztkbC

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 08:41 UTC

After reading them you'd become some kind of transhumanist. Then all EY had to do is keep studying physics, CS, evo psych and AI (all tied to epistemology); interact with the Extropians mailing list until the insight ran out and found SL4. In that light he's not so special.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 08:44 UTC

When I was 14 and reading The Sequences I asked how "could this person possibly exist?", now I ask why there aren't thousands more people like him.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 08:48 UTC

Suspect most of the problem is amenable to this sort of analysis: joelonsoftware.com/2000/06/03/str…

Haven't found the time to sit down and do it yet.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 08:58 UTC

(At one point EY said on his website that this is the book that made him a transhumanist. Later on he changed his answer to Drexler's Engines of Creation, but he probably got the idea to read it from this)

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 09:51 UTC

@eigenrobot Children are vacating schools, the nation is healing we're the virus.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 21:31 UTC

An MVP exists to test a hypothesis about consumer demand, a product that is not good enough to test the hypothesis is not an MVP. x.com/kocienda/statu…

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 21:33 UTC

This is something that seems like it should be obvious once it's pointed out, but a surprising amount of literature defines it subtly wrong, e.g. "an MVP is the minimum product people will pay for". NO! Minimum product that tests your hypothesis.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 21:36 UTC

The minimum product that tests your hypothesis can actually be quite involved, the usual approach to something like that is to have good priors (do your research) and do progressively more expensive tests (surveys, user interviews, then MVP) to see if you're on the right track.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 21:39 UTC

The entire MVP approach to business is very meta, it's about exploring business hypothesis space quickly until you find something worth doing great in the first place.

(Hint: If your business hypothesis requires greatness, the MVP needs it too, achieve greatness where it counts)

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 23:16 UTC

@nosilverv I find that I tend to overestimate progress in the short term and underestimate progress in the long term.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 23:17 UTC

@nosilverv Your material circumstances have a long lag time to catch up with your mind, don't expect revolutionary change right away.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-09 23:55 UTC

Brian Tomasik's departed spirit lounging atop a giant pile of counterfactual utility, then jumping up with a startle as he wonders whether ghosts can suffer.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-10 05:26 UTC

SHA256:

10d875aad1c157b536883d45245f05a051fc2f6e5457978f5ee94ec3a2a7d400

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-11 01:19 UTC

@SamoBurja https://t.co/PlzkspmQ6m

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-11 02:10 UTC

@Childermass4 I talk to people a lot and then lift some of the good lines and thoughts for tweets.

Ditto reading books, etc.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-13 20:53 UTC

@0xGray @RokoMijicUK People are strange creatures that will set up television sets and buy cookies then complain they're fat and lazy.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-15 02:37 UTC

SL1: "You know you can just make a sun?"
SL2: "You know you can just make a habitable planet?"
SL3: "You know you can just make life?"
SL4: "You know you can just make a generally intelligent agent?"
SL5: "You know you can just make a universe?"

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-15 02:38 UTC

See also: sl4.org/shocklevels.ht…

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-15 05:49 UTC

Reading up on distributed identity schemes right now, and this paper from Wilson and Ateniese has an interesting proposal: Use a blockchain to costly signal trust by sending the key you sign money that they then send back.

arxiv.org/pdf/1508.04868… https://t.co/T5WXHjwFex

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-15 05:49 UTC

The overall paper is very similar to BrightID (brightid.org) which uses blockchain enhanced Web of Trust to try and form a sybil resistant network. It implements this staking process with an internal value called "health", but I think money is more interesting.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-15 05:49 UTC

Unlike 'health', which the user has no incentive to care about, staking money on trust in the key signals more than just its authenticity. The amount of money staked can double as a costly signal of relationship strength.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-15 05:49 UTC

This would provide an economic utility to the network that is otherwise lacking in the feature-impoverished PGP web of trust. Traditionally PGP's social network function has been considered a bug, embracing it could increase adoption by several OOM.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-15 05:49 UTC

Sending relatively large sums of money as stake, e.g. $1000, proves you trust the key and have a strong relationship with the identity. You could make a network of people with game theory Common Knowledge they trust each other with large sums of money and can manage crypto keys.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-15 06:46 UTC

@ireneista Lucky's Silicon Dreams: Information, Man, and Machine is an excellent book that explores this in detail. It uses information theory to sketch out the theoretical limits of human computer interaction with unmodified people, since people are the bottleneck.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-15 10:29 UTC

(Minor thing: "several" is the wrong word there, more like "multiple". Also depends on how you count a PGP user.)

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-15 10:44 UTC

@chaophagy I tried this several years ago on Omegle, it's doable with people who don't understand how impossible that is. I suspect after GPT-3/et al it would be even easier.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-17 01:34 UTC

As someone who has "don't move to the Bay" as a literal career goal, watching the Bay Area cope machine intensify is deep schadenfreude.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-17 01:40 UTC

I've had so many friends who had their lives ruined by moving to the Bay, I'd say "it's not even funny", except it really isn't funny; it's horrifying. At least one suicide in the mix.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-17 01:54 UTC

None of this is a new phenomena. Similar happened to young people that moved to Vienna in the early 20th century without a set career track to upward mobility. SF is a power city for power players, anyone who goes there without a job offer from FAANG/et al. is going to be prey. https://t.co/wCZqjtaWiW

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-17 02:11 UTC

@Logo_Daedalus I even cite the sources I think are dangerous.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-20 10:33 UTC

@EpistemicHope I think people did do this but they didn't become popular. e.g. gather.town is a neat idea that I only barely heard of.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-22 04:20 UTC

youtube.com/watch?v=oOxSCF…

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-23 06:31 UTC

Leyland Kirby's Everywhere At The End Of Time has gone semi-viral recently. It's a six hour concept album about dementia, a odd candidate for viral popularity.

youtube.com/watch?v=wJWksP…

I think a lot of that popularity stems from its accidental description of the Zoomer life arc.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-23 06:31 UTC

That epiphany, that you can't step in the same stream twice, that trying to hold on to what was is a losing, futile exercise is the payoff: the rest of the album is a meditation on making peace with less and less as you ride to the bottom of the void.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-23 06:31 UTC

As you get deeper into the "stages" of dementia, Heartaches returns in increasingly distorted and unfaithful renditions. Eventually you have the epiphany that you have no idea what it's supposed to sound like anymore, and won't hear it clearly again for the rest of the album.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-23 06:31 UTC

The album centers around "It's Just A Burning Memory", a looped, eerie sample of Al Bowlly's Heartaches.

youtube.com/watch?v=S652aa…

It's nostalgic and creepy at the same time, with an instantly recognized but easily forgotten melody. You pay it no mind on your first listen.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-23 06:31 UTC

Life only gets more complicated, anxiety ratchets tighter as malthusian status games get meaner and more vicious. Ostensible material abundance becomes a distorted polyphonic tide of economic self parody. Problems aren't solved, only pushed deeper into the stack by new ones.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-23 06:31 UTC

This is a sobering analogy for life as it's experienced by the more thoughtful member of Gen Z. The oldest of that cohort can barely remember life before 9/11, the 90's are a burning memory they were in no position to appreciate. As time goes on the song gets farther away.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-23 06:31 UTC

Eventually the victim might find peace in the understanding that there is no answer, at least not one they're in a position to receive. Under such conditions it's no wonder that 25% of young adults contemplated killing themselves in June:

qz.com/1892349/cdc-de…

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-23 06:31 UTC

2020 is something like Stage 4, where a lingering facsimile of awareness crosses over into totalitarian senility. Life becomes a horror story, everything is wrong and little makes sense. It is the essence of horror: The victim keeps asking "why" but gets no answer.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-23 06:31 UTC

Our societal alzheimer's worsens as we desperately try to cling onto what was, but our recollection of how to solve basic problems is increasingly warped and unfaithful. Fantasies about collapse are analogous to the desire that a patient be euthanized to end their suffering.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-23 06:39 UTC

That's the terror of a progressive disease: No matter how bad they think it is now, they understand it will only get worse.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-26 14:09 UTC

@ollybot_redux @sonyasupposedly As an outsider I read it as having a manic personality type, which tends to be a low trust posture for me.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-26 15:06 UTC

The dystopian cyberpunk future is already here, it's just unevenly distributed.

torrentfreak.com/nintendo-condu…

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-28 03:09 UTC

@pee_zombie @GeniesLoki advocate.com/youth/2018/7/0…

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-29 06:42 UTC

graymirror.substack.com/p/2020-the-yea…

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-29 07:48 UTC

Nothing is intolerable until people stop tolerating it.

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-29 08:23 UTC

I've done the opposite. One time I informed the professor that if they notice a resemblance between my essay and the Wikipedia page, it's because I wrote it the night before. x.com/RantyAmyCurtis…

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-31 03:06 UTC

Men will literally tear apart the stars in heaven and build a Dyson Sphere instead of going to therapy

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πŸ”— John David Pressman 2020-12-31 21:21 UTC

In case there's any ambiguity, I really did write it the night before.

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